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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1440

Elo1497

Darrick MinnervsShayilan NuerdanbiekeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · Saturday, November 5, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:07

Style matchupDarrick Minner: WrestlervsShayilan Nuerdanbieke: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Darrick Minner wins(55.9%)

Actual result: Shayilan Nuerdanbieke wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Darrick Minner at +330 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Darrick Minner threatens submissions; Shayilan Nuerdanbieke has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Darrick Minner has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Darrick Minner

Red Corner

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

Blue Corner

+330

(23%)

Vegas Odds

-410

(80%)

1440

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'8"

175.26 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Darrick MinnerL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Grant Dawson · Feb 20

SUBvs TJ Laramie · Sep 20

vs Charles Rosa · Feb 21

KOvs Darren Elkins · Jul 21

vs Ryan Hall · Dec 21

latest

Shayilan NuerdanbiekeL2 streak

oldest →

vs Josh Culibao · May 21

vs Sean Soriano · Nov 21

vs TJ Brown · Jun 22

KOvs Steve Garcia · Apr 23

SUBvs Melquizael Costa · Jun 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Darrick MinnerMetricShayilan Nuerdanbieke

2.63

Strikes / min

1.95

2.28

Strikes absorbed / min

2.64

35%

Strike defense

50%

2.40

TDs / 15 min

3.30

66%

Takedown defense

28%

2.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.35Δ 1.04 — meaningful gap-0.69

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Darrick MinnerShayilan Nuerdanbieke

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Darrick Minner(6 fights)Shayilan Nuerdanbieke(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -57.7|Blue +57.7

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red +196.0|Blue -196.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Darrick MinnerTargetShayilan Nuerdanbieke

By target zone

Head

53% acc · 100%

100% acc · 40%

Body

100% acc · 60%

Leg

By position

100% acc · 100%

Distance

40% acc · 21%

Clinch

Ground

58% acc · 79%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Darrick Minner rounds

even

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke rounds

Round 1Shayilan Nuerdanbieke edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:33Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

5 / 5

Sig Strikes

19 / 36

100%

Sig Str %

52%

5 / 5

Total Strikes

32 / 50

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:33

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Shayilan Nuerdanbieke	19 / 36	32 / 50	0 / 0	0
1	Darrick Minner	5 / 5	5 / 5	0 / 0	0

Darrick Minner

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6