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Flyweight
3 Rounds
Darren Uyenoyama won · SUB R2
Elo1353
Elo1353

Darren UyenoyamavsPhil HarrisUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · Friday, October 5, 2012Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA

Official fight result

Darren Uyenoyama won

SUB · Round 2 · 3:38

Model Prediction: Darren Uyenoyama wins(78.6%)

Actual result: Darren Uyenoyama wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Darren Uyenoyama at -300 American odds

+$33 profit

$133 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Darren Uyenoyama threatens submissions; Phil Harris has lost 33% of fights by sub.
  • Phil Harris has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Darren Uyenoyama
Red Corner
VS
Phil Harris
Blue Corner
-300
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+270
(27%)
1353
Elo
1353
46
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'4"
165.1 cm
Reach
165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Darren UyenoyamaL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Norifumi Yamamoto · Nov 11
L
KOvs Joseph Benavidez · Apr 13
L
vs Alptekin Ozkilic · Dec 13
latest
Phil HarrisL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Ulysses Gomez · Feb 13
L
KOvs John Lineker · Oct 13
L
vs Neil Seery · Jul 14
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Darren UyenoyamaMetricPhil Harris
1.34
Strikes / min
2.34
2.21
Strikes absorbed / min
3.16
66%
Strike defense
68%
1.42
TDs / 15 min
1.76
35%
Takedown defense
60%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.87evenly matched on net striking-0.82

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1515 vs 1500Strikes15.0 vs Takedowns2.0 vs Sub Atts1.00 vs Form1.0 vs 0.0
Darren UyenoyamaPhil Harris

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Darren Uyenoyama(4 fights)Phil Harris(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Darren UyenoyamaTargetPhil Harris

By target zone

4
12% acc · 57%
Head
3
7% acc · 30%
0
0% acc
Body
2
33% acc · 20%
3
60% acc · 43%
Leg
5
56% acc · 50%

By position

7
19% acc · 100%
Distance
3
7% acc · 30%
0
0% acc
Clinch
6
60% acc · 60%
0
0% acc
Ground
1
33% acc · 10%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Darren Uyenoyama rounds
1
even
1
Phil Harris rounds
Round 1Phil Harris edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:28
8Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:03Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control1:31
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:32Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
7 / 43
Sig Strikes
10 / 57
15.5%
Sig Str %
15.5%
16 / 55
Total Strikes
13 / 62
0 / 0
TDs
2 / 3
TD %
50%
2
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
0
1:59
Ctrl Time
2:35

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Phil Harris8 / 3810 / 412 / 20
1Darren Uyenoyama6 / 238 / 260 / 01
2Phil Harris2 / 193 / 210 / 10
2Darren Uyenoyama1 / 208 / 290 / 01

Darren Uyenoyama

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights4

Phil Harris

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights4