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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Darren Till won · U-DEC R3

Elo1443

Elo1390

Darren TillvsJessin AyariUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · Sunday, May 28, 2017Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Darren Till won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Jessin Ayari wins(70.5%)

Actual result: Darren Till wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jessin Ayari at +235 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Darren Till enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Darren Till has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Darren Till (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Darren Till

Red Corner

Jessin Ayari

Blue Corner

-275

(73%)

Vegas Odds

+235

(30%)

1443

Elo

1390

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Darren TillL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Mar 19

vs Kelvin Gastelum · Nov 19

vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 20

SUBvs Derek Brunson · Sep 21

SUBvs Dricus Du Plessis · Dec 22

latest

Jessin AyariL2 streak

oldest →

DECvs Jimmy Wallhead · Sep 16

vs Stevie Ray · Oct 18

KOvs Luigi Vendramini · Oct 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Darren TillMetricJessin Ayari

2.30

Strikes / min

3.53

3.31

Strikes absorbed / min

3.59

56%

Strike defense

58%

0.55

TDs / 15 min

0.00

69%

Takedown defense

50%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.01evenly matched on net striking-0.06

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Darren TillJessin Ayari

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Darren Till(10 fights)Jessin Ayari(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +53.9|Blue -53.9

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +462.0|Blue -462.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Darren TillTargetJessin Ayari

By target zone

42% acc · 87%

Head

20% acc · 75%

100% acc · 6%

Body

100% acc · 18%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

100% acc · 7%

By position

35% acc · 61%

Distance

14% acc · 46%

100% acc · 3%

Clinch

73% acc · 39%

85% acc · 35%

Ground

80% acc · 14%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Darren Till rounds

even

Jessin Ayari rounds

Round 1Darren Till edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns2

Control0:21

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Darren Till edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control2:36

Knockdowns1

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:23Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:23Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

31 / 69

Sig Strikes

28 / 112

43.3%

Sig Str %

26.7%

33 / 72

Total Strikes

41 / 127

2 / 3

TDs

0 / 5

66%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:57

Ctrl Time

0:46

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jessin Ayari	8 / 34	9 / 35	0 / 0	0
1	Darren Till	6 / 22	6 / 22	2 / 3	0
2	Jessin Ayari	12 / 29	20 / 39	0 / 4	1
2	Darren Till	17 / 26	19 / 29	0 / 0	0
3	Jessin Ayari	8 / 49	12 / 53	0 / 1	0
3	Darren Till	8 / 21	8 / 21	0 / 0	0

Darren Till

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights11

Jessin Ayari

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights4