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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Darren Till won · U-DEC R3

Elo1443

Elo1363

Darren TillvsBojan VelickovicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · Saturday, September 2, 2017Rotterdam, Zuid-Holland, Netherlands

Official fight result

Darren Till won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Darren Till wins(55.3%)

Actual result: Darren Till wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Darren Till at -190 American odds

+$53 profit

$153 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Darren Till enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Darren Till

Red Corner

Bojan Velickovic

Blue Corner

-190

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+165

(38%)

1443

Elo

1363

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Darren TillL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Mar 19

vs Kelvin Gastelum · Nov 19

vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 20

SUBvs Derek Brunson · Sep 21

SUBvs Dricus Du Plessis · Dec 22

latest

Bojan Velickovic

oldest →

vs Alessio Di Chirico · Apr 16

vs Sultan Aliev · Dec 16

KOvs Nico Musoke · May 17

vs Jake Matthews · Nov 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Darren TillMetricBojan Velickovic

2.30

Strikes / min

2.18

3.31

Strikes absorbed / min

2.31

56%

Strike defense

57%

0.55

TDs / 15 min

0.67

69%

Takedown defense

55%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.01evenly matched on net striking-0.13

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Darren TillBojan Velickovic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Darren Till(10 fights)Bojan Velickovic(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +80.8|Blue -80.8

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Darren TillTargetBojan Velickovic

By target zone

53% acc · 86%

Head

15% acc · 47%

100% acc · 2%

Body

29% acc · 6%

86% acc · 12%

Leg

57% acc · 47%

By position

48% acc · 65%

Distance

23% acc · 94%

100% acc · 2%

Clinch

0% acc

84% acc · 33%

Ground

100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Darren Till rounds

even

Bojan Velickovic rounds

Round 1Darren Till edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:40

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Darren Till edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control1:47

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Darren Till edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:24

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

49 / 87

Sig Strikes

34 / 144

55.7%

Sig Str %

24.3%

50 / 88

Total Strikes

69 / 181

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 3

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:51

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Bojan Velickovic	10 / 35	10 / 35	0 / 1
1	Darren Till	20 / 30	20 / 30	0 / 0
2	Bojan Velickovic	11 / 41	29 / 61	0 / 1
2	Darren Till	11 / 22	11 / 22	1 / 1
3	Bojan Velickovic	13 / 68	30 / 85	0 / 1
3	Darren Till	18 / 35	19 / 36	0 / 0

Darren Till

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights11

Bojan Velickovic

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights5