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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Edmen Shahbazyan won · S-DEC R3
Elo1407
Elo1513
Edmen Shahbazyan

Darren StewartvsEdmen ShahbazyanUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale · Friday, November 30, 2018Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Edmen Shahbazyan won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDarren Stewart: Well-roundedvsEdmen Shahbazyan: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Darren Stewart wins(56.7%)

Actual result: Edmen Shahbazyan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Darren Stewart at +100 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Darren Stewart enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Darren Stewart
Red Corner
VS
Edmen Shahbazyan
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
1407
Elo
1513
35
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Darren StewartL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Deron Winn · Oct 19
W
SUBvs Maki Pitolo · Aug 20
L
vs Kevin Holland · Sep 20
L
vs Eryk Anders · Jun 21
L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Aug 21
latest
Edmen Shahbazyan
oldest →
L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 24
W
KOvs Dylan Budka · Feb 25
W
vs Andre Petroski · Jun 25
W
KOvs Andre Muniz · Oct 25
L
DECvs Brendan Allen · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Darren StewartMetricEdmen Shahbazyan
3.05
Strikes / min
3.80
3.29
Strikes absorbed / min
3.60
48%
Strike defense
49%
1.75
TDs / 15 min
1.62
67%
Takedown defense
66%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.24evenly matched on net striking+0.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1493 vs 1500Strikes22.5 vs —Takedowns1.0 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form0.2 vs 0.0
Darren StewartEdmen Shahbazyan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Darren Stewart(10 fights)Edmen Shahbazyan(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -105.9|Blue +105.9
Recent Form
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score
Red -48.8|Blue +48.8
Grappler Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Darren StewartTargetEdmen Shahbazyan

By target zone

29
46% acc · 85%
Head
12
48% acc · 55%
4
67% acc · 12%
Body
6
75% acc · 27%
1
50% acc · 3%
Leg
4
100% acc · 18%

By position

11
28% acc · 32%
Distance
10
48% acc · 45%
12
75% acc · 35%
Clinch
11
73% acc · 50%
11
73% acc · 32%
Ground
1
100% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Darren Stewart rounds
0
even
2
Edmen Shahbazyan rounds
Round 1Edmen Shahbazyan edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:23Control
Round 2Edmen Shahbazyan edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:09Control
Round 3Darren Stewart edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control0:41
1Sig. strikes
4Takedowns
2:25Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
34 / 71
Sig Strikes
22 / 37
41.7%
Sig Str %
50%
46 / 84
Total Strikes
27 / 43
1 / 3
TDs
8 / 21
25%
TD %
38.3%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:41
Ctrl Time
9:57

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Edmen Shahbazyan11 / 1712 / 182 / 80
1Darren Stewart11 / 2815 / 320 / 00
2Edmen Shahbazyan10 / 1513 / 192 / 60
2Darren Stewart2 / 75 / 100 / 10
3Edmen Shahbazyan1 / 52 / 64 / 70
3Darren Stewart21 / 3626 / 421 / 20

Darren Stewart

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights12

Edmen Shahbazyan

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights15