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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Darren Elkins won · Decision R3
Elo1499
Darren Elkins
Elo1357

Darren ElkinsvsRob WhitefordUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · Saturday, October 24, 2015Dublin, Leinster, Ireland

Official fight result

Darren Elkins won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Darren Elkins wins(59.6%)

Actual result: Darren Elkins wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Darren Elkins at -155 American odds

+$65 profit

$165 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Rob Whiteford (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Darren Elkins
Red Corner
VS
Rob Whiteford
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
1499
Elo
1357
42
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Darren Elkins
oldest →
W
vs Tristan Connelly · Apr 22
L
vs Jonathan Pearce · Dec 22
W
SUBvs TJ Brown · Oct 23
W
vs Daniel Pineda · Oct 24
L
KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 25
latest
Rob Whiteford
oldest →
L
SUBvs Jimy Hettes · Oct 13
W
DECvs Daniel Pineda · Mar 14
W
KOvs Paul Redmond · Jul 15
L
DECvs Lucas Martins · Apr 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Darren ElkinsMetricRob Whiteford
3.40
Strikes / min
—
3.34
Strikes absorbed / min
—
51%
Strike defense
—
2.87
TDs / 15 min
—
56%
Takedown defense
—
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1549 vs 1516Strikes29.5 vs 20.3Takedowns1.3 vs 1.7Sub Atts1.25 vs 0.00Form-0.2 vs 0.7
Darren ElkinsRob Whiteford

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Darren Elkins(10 fights)Rob Whiteford(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +142.8|Blue -142.8
Recent Form
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +210.0|Blue -210.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Darren Elkins

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights30

Rob Whiteford

StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights2