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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Darren Elkins won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1499

Elo1440

Darren ElkinsvsDarrick MinnerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · Saturday, July 24, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Darren Elkins won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:48

Style matchupDarren Elkins: WrestlervsDarrick Minner: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Darrick Minner wins(65.1%)

Actual result: Darren Elkins wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Darrick Minner at -155 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Darren Elkins has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Darren Elkins

Red Corner

Darrick Minner

Blue Corner

+130

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-155

(61%)

1499

Elo

1440

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'7"

180.34 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Darren Elkins

oldest →

vs Tristan Connelly · Apr 22

vs Jonathan Pearce · Dec 22

SUBvs TJ Brown · Oct 23

vs Daniel Pineda · Oct 24

KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 25

latest

Darrick MinnerL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Grant Dawson · Feb 20

SUBvs TJ Laramie · Sep 20

vs Charles Rosa · Feb 21

vs Ryan Hall · Dec 21

KOvs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · Nov 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Darren ElkinsMetricDarrick Minner

3.40

Strikes / min

2.63

3.34

Strikes absorbed / min

2.28

51%

Strike defense

35%

2.87

TDs / 15 min

2.40

56%

Takedown defense

66%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

2.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.06evenly matched on net striking+0.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Darren ElkinsDarrick Minner

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Darren Elkins(10 fights)Darrick Minner(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +59.8|Blue -59.8

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +105.0|Blue -105.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Darren ElkinsTargetDarrick Minner

By target zone

64% acc · 90%

Head

52% acc · 74%

100% acc · 10%

Body

80% acc · 21%

Leg

33% acc · 5%

By position

50% acc · 10%

Distance

38% acc · 26%

67% acc · 10%

Clinch

57% acc · 21%

70% acc · 80%

Ground

67% acc · 53%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Darren Elkins rounds

even

Darrick Minner rounds

Round 1Darrick Minner edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns1

Control0:44

19Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:17Control

Round 2Darren Elkins edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control2:17

0Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:24Control

Fight Stats

Totals

20 / 30

Sig Strikes

19 / 35

63%

Sig Str %

28.5%

137 / 154

Total Strikes

36 / 55

1 / 2

TDs

2 / 2

50%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

3:01

Ctrl Time

4:41

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Darrick Minner	19 / 33	36 / 53	1 / 1	3
1	Darren Elkins	4 / 7	43 / 48	1 / 2	0
2	Darrick Minner	0 / 2	0 / 2	1 / 1	0
2	Darren Elkins	16 / 23	94 / 106	0 / 0	0

Darren Elkins

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights30

Darrick Minner

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6