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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Daron Cruickshank won · U-DEC R3
Elo1356
Elo1354

Daron CruickshankvsAnthony NjokuaniUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · Saturday, October 4, 2014Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada

Official fight result

Daron Cruickshank won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDaron Cruickshank: WrestlervsAnthony Njokuani: Elusive striker

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Anthony Njokuani wins(50.2%)

Actual result: Daron Cruickshank wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anthony Njokuani at +100 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Daron Cruickshank enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Daron Cruickshank (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Daron Cruickshank
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Njokuani
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
1356
Elo
1354
41
Age
46
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Daron CruickshankL4 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Erik Koch · May 14
L
vs Jorge Masvidal · Jul 14
L
SUBvs Beneil Dariush · Mar 15
L
SUBvs James Krause · Jul 15
L
SUBvs Paul Felder · Jan 16
latest
Anthony Njokuani
oldest →
L
vs Danny Castillo · Dec 11
W
vs John Makdessi · Apr 12
L
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Jul 12
W
KOvs Roger Bowling · Apr 13
L
vs Vinc Pichel · May 14
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Daron CruickshankMetricAnthony Njokuani
2.88
Strikes / min
3.94
2.98
Strikes absorbed / min
2.41
57%
Strike defense
65%
2.04
TDs / 15 min
0.50
60%
Takedown defense
53%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.10Δ 1.63 — meaningful gap+1.53

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1530 vs 1486Strikes32.6 vs 55.3Takedowns0.9 vs 0.4Sub Atts0.25 vs 0.14Form0.1 vs -0.5
Daron CruickshankAnthony Njokuani

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Daron Cruickshank(10 fights)Anthony Njokuani(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +2.4|Blue -2.4
Recent Form
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Grappler Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -63.0|Blue +63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Daron CruickshankTargetAnthony Njokuani

By target zone

28
35% acc · 67%
Head
10
20% acc · 25%
6
43% acc · 14%
Body
10
56% acc · 25%
8
80% acc · 19%
Leg
20
83% acc · 50%

By position

29
34% acc · 69%
Distance
38
43% acc · 95%
2
50% acc · 5%
Clinch
2
67% acc · 5%
11
85% acc · 26%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Daron Cruickshank rounds
0
even
0
Anthony Njokuani rounds
Round 1Daron Cruickshank edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns2
Control1:18
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Daron Cruickshank edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns3
Control0:48
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Daron Cruickshank edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control0:49
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
42 / 103
Sig Strikes
40 / 91
40%
Sig Str %
43%
54 / 116
Total Strikes
44 / 95
6 / 12
TDs
0 / 1
50.3%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:55
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Anthony Njokuani9 / 2512 / 280 / 10
1Daron Cruickshank11 / 3018 / 382 / 30
2Anthony Njokuani15 / 3216 / 330 / 00
2Daron Cruickshank15 / 3616 / 373 / 50
3Anthony Njokuani16 / 3416 / 340 / 00
3Daron Cruickshank16 / 3720 / 411 / 40

Daron Cruickshank

StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights12

Anthony Njokuani

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8