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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Kennedy Nzechukwu won · U-DEC R3
Elo1380
Darko Stosic
Elo1504

Darko StosicvsKennedy NzechukwuUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · Saturday, August 3, 2019Newark, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Kennedy Nzechukwu won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDarko Stosic: WrestlervsKennedy Nzechukwu: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Kennedy Nzechukwu wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Kennedy Nzechukwu wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kennedy Nzechukwu at +100 American odds

+$100 profit

$200 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Kennedy Nzechukwu (53.5%).
  • Kennedy Nzechukwu has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Darko Stosic
Red Corner
VS
Kennedy Nzechukwu
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
1380
Elo
1504
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'5"
193.04 cm
Reach
210.82 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Darko StosicL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Jeremy Kimball · Jul 18
L
vs Devin Clark · Jun 19
L
vs Jamahal Hill · Jan 20
latest
Kennedy Nzechukwu
oldest →
L
vs Ovince Saint Preux · Mar 24
W
KOvs Chris Barnett · Oct 24
W
KOvs Lukasz Brzeski · Dec 24
L
SUBvs Valter Walker · Jul 25
D
vs Marcus Buchecha · Dec 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Darko StosicMetricKennedy Nzechukwu
2.61
Strikes / min
4.96
4.04
Strikes absorbed / min
4.58
58%
Strike defense
51%
3.42
TDs / 15 min
0.50
83%
Takedown defense
80%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.43Δ 1.81 — meaningful gap+0.38

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1499 vs 1483Strikes2.6 vs 4.6Takedowns3.4 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-0.4 vs -1.0
Darko StosicKennedy Nzechukwu

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Darko Stosic(4 fights)Kennedy Nzechukwu(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -124.0|Blue +124.0
Recent Form
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -63.0|Blue +63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Darko StosicTargetKennedy Nzechukwu

By target zone

21
26% acc · 35%
Head
38
37% acc · 76%
7
78% acc · 12%
Body
10
56% acc · 20%
32
71% acc · 53%
Leg
2
67% acc · 4%

By position

48
43% acc · 80%
Distance
47
39% acc · 94%
10
50% acc · 17%
Clinch
0
2
67% acc · 3%
Ground
3
100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Darko Stosic rounds
0
even
1
Kennedy Nzechukwu rounds
Round 1Darko Stosic edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:20
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Kennedy Nzechukwu edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control0:21
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Darko Stosic edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns3
Control1:27
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
60 / 134
Sig Strikes
50 / 123
44.7%
Sig Str %
38.7%
63 / 137
Total Strikes
50 / 123
4 / 10
TDs
0 / 0
45.7%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:08
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Kennedy Nzechukwu9 / 329 / 320 / 00
1Darko Stosic29 / 4329 / 430 / 10
2Kennedy Nzechukwu26 / 5426 / 540 / 00
2Darko Stosic15 / 4315 / 431 / 10
3Kennedy Nzechukwu15 / 3715 / 370 / 00
3Darko Stosic16 / 4819 / 513 / 80

Darko Stosic

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights4

Kennedy Nzechukwu

StanceSouthpaw
Height77.0"
Reach83.0"
Fights15