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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Kevin Vallejos won · U-DEC R3

Elo1527

Elo1575

Danny SilvavsKevin VallejosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · Saturday, August 2, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Kevin Vallejos won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDanny Silva: WrestlervsKevin Vallejos: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Danny Silva wins(65.3%)

Actual result: Kevin Vallejos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Danny Silva at +300 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Danny Silva enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Kevin Vallejos enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Danny Silva

Red Corner

Kevin Vallejos

Blue Corner

+300

(25%)

Vegas Odds

-375

(79%)

1527

Elo

1575

Age

Switch

Stance

Switch

5'7"

Height

5'7"

175.26 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Danny SilvaW3 streak

oldest →

vs Josh Culibao · Mar 24

vs Lucas Almeida · Mar 25

KOvs Kurtis Campbell · Mar 26

latest

Kevin VallejosW3 streak

oldest →

KOvs SeungWoo Choi · Mar 25

KOvs Giga Chikadze · Dec 25

KOvs Josh Emmett · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Danny SilvaMetricKevin Vallejos

6.35

Strikes / min

6.12

7.10

Strikes absorbed / min

4.41

61%

Strike defense

57%

2.06

TDs / 15 min

0.66

75%

Takedown defense

84%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.75Δ 2.46 — meaningful gap+1.71

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Danny SilvaKevin Vallejos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Danny Silva(4 fights)Kevin Vallejos(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -47.9|Blue +47.9

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Danny SilvaTargetKevin Vallejos

By target zone

38% acc · 74%

Head

33% acc · 67%

71% acc · 17%

Body

66% acc · 30%

50% acc · 9%

Leg

75% acc · 3%

By position

43% acc · 99%

Distance

37% acc · 90%

25% acc · 1%

Clinch

75% acc · 10%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Danny Silva rounds

even

Kevin Vallejos rounds

Round 1Kevin Vallejos edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control0:10

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:19Control

Round 2Kevin Vallejos edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:04

35Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:33Control

Round 3Kevin Vallejos edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control0:08

36Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:22Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

69 / 164

Sig Strikes

90 / 229

39.3%

Sig Str %

38.7%

73 / 168

Total Strikes

90 / 230

1 / 9

TDs

2 / 5

33.3%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:22

Ctrl Time

1:14

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Kevin Vallejos	19 / 54	19 / 55	0 / 2
1	Danny Silva	10 / 39	10 / 39	1 / 1
2	Kevin Vallejos	35 / 81	35 / 81	1 / 2
2	Danny Silva	22 / 50	25 / 53	0 / 3
3	Kevin Vallejos	36 / 94	36 / 94	1 / 1
3	Danny Silva	37 / 75	38 / 76	0 / 5

Danny Silva

StanceSwitch

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights4

Kevin Vallejos

StanceSwitch

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights4