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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Danny Roberts won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1467
Danny Roberts
Elo1364
Oliver Enkamp

Danny RobertsvsOliver EnkampUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · Saturday, March 17, 2018London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Danny Roberts won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:12

Model Prediction: Danny Roberts wins(65.7%)

Actual result: Danny Roberts wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Danny Roberts at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Danny Roberts enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Danny Roberts has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Danny Roberts has 57pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Oliver Enkamp (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Danny Roberts
Red Corner
VS
Oliver Enkamp
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
1467
Elo
1364
39
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
6'1"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Danny RobertsL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Zelim Imadaev · Nov 19
W
vs Ramazan Emeev · Oct 21
L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · May 22
L
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Nov 22
L
KOvs Jonny Parsons · Jul 23
latest
Oliver Enkamp
oldest →
L
vs Nordine Taleb · May 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Danny RobertsMetricOliver Enkamp
3.18
Strikes / min
2.38
3.73
Strikes absorbed / min
3.55
50%
Strike defense
37%
0.24
TDs / 15 min
0.87
57%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.55evenly matched on net striking-1.17

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1483Strikes34.4 vs 34.0Takedowns0.0 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.00Form-0.1 vs -1.0
Danny RobertsOliver Enkamp

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Danny Roberts(10 fights)Oliver Enkamp(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +103.1|Blue -103.1
Recent Form
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -202.0|Blue +202.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Danny RobertsTargetOliver Enkamp

By target zone

2
25% acc · 50%
Head
1
25% acc · 14%
1
100% acc · 25%
Body
1
100% acc · 14%
1
100% acc · 25%
Leg
5
71% acc · 71%

By position

3
38% acc · 75%
Distance
5
50% acc · 71%
0
0% acc
Clinch
2
100% acc · 29%
1
100% acc · 25%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Danny Roberts rounds
0
even
0
Oliver Enkamp rounds
Round 1Danny Roberts edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
4 / 10
Sig Strikes
7 / 12
40%
Sig Str %
58%
4 / 10
Total Strikes
8 / 14
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 1
—
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:02
Ctrl Time
0:24

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Oliver Enkamp7 / 128 / 140 / 10
1Danny Roberts4 / 104 / 100 / 00

Danny Roberts

StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14

Oliver Enkamp

StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights2