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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Jonny Parsons won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1467

Elo1501

Danny RobertsvsJonny ParsonsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Saturday, July 22, 2023London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Jonny Parsons won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:57

Style matchupDanny Roberts: StrikervsJonny Parsons: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Jonny Parsons wins(64.1%)

Actual result: Jonny Parsons wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jonny Parsons at +120 American odds

+$120 profit

$220 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jonny Parsons is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Danny Roberts has lost 71% of fights by KO.
Jonny Parsons has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Danny Roberts (53.5%).
Danny Roberts has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Danny Roberts

Red Corner

Jonny Parsons

Blue Corner

-140

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1467

Elo

1501

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'9"

187.96 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Danny RobertsL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Michel Pereira · May 19

KOvs Zelim Imadaev · Nov 19

vs Ramazan Emeev · Oct 21

vs Francisco Trinaldo · May 22

KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Nov 22

latest

Jonny ParsonsNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Danny RobertsMetricJonny Parsons

3.18

Strikes / min

4.65

3.73

Strikes absorbed / min

4.89

50%

Strike defense

60%

0.24

TDs / 15 min

0.00

57%

Takedown defense

66%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.55evenly matched on net striking-0.24

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Danny RobertsJonny Parsons

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Danny Roberts(10 fights)Jonny Parsons(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -33.8|Blue +33.8

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -48.6|Blue +48.6

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Danny RobertsTargetJonny Parsons

By target zone

24% acc · 61%

Head

44% acc · 67%

74% acc · 32%

Body

63% acc · 19%

100% acc · 7%

Leg

90% acc · 14%

By position

33% acc · 100%

Distance

50% acc · 81%

0% acc

Clinch

47% acc · 11%

Ground

63% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Danny Roberts rounds

even

Jonny Parsons rounds

Round 1Danny Roberts edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Jonny Parsons edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns0

43Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:26Control

2Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

44 / 133

Sig Strikes

63 / 124

33.5%

Sig Str %

49%

44 / 134

Total Strikes

69 / 133

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

1:26

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jonny Parsons	20 / 50	20 / 50	0 / 0
1	Danny Roberts	25 / 60	25 / 60	0 / 0
2	Jonny Parsons	43 / 74	49 / 83	0 / 0
2	Danny Roberts	19 / 73	19 / 74	0 / 2

Danny Roberts

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights14

Jonny Parsons

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights1