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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Danny Henry won · SUB R1
Elo1386
Danny Henry
Elo1473

Danny HenryvsHakeem DawoduUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · Saturday, March 17, 2018London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Danny Henry won

SUB · Round 1 · 0:39

Style matchupDanny Henry: Pressure fightervsHakeem Dawodu: Striker

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Danny Henry wins(76.0%)

Actual result: Danny Henry wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Danny Henry at +240 American odds

+$240 profit

$340 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Hakeem Dawodu has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Hakeem Dawodu has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Danny Henry
Red Corner
VS
Hakeem Dawodu
Blue Corner
+240
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-260
(72%)
1386
Elo
1473
38
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'8"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Danny HenryL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Daniel Teymur · Jul 17
L
SUBvs Dan Ige · Mar 19
L
SUBvs Makwan Amirkhani · Jul 20
latest
Hakeem DawoduL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Zubaira Tukhugov · Sep 20
L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jun 21
W
vs Michael Trizano · Feb 22
L
vs Julian Erosa · Sep 22
L
vs Cub Swanson · Aug 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Danny HenryMetricHakeem Dawodu
5.20
Strikes / min
5.45
4.16
Strikes absorbed / min
3.37
45%
Strike defense
56%
0.74
TDs / 15 min
0.00
50%
Takedown defense
65%
2.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.04Δ 1.04 — meaningful gap+2.08

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1519 vs 1500Strikes93.0 vs —Takedowns1.0 vs —Sub Atts2.00 vs —Form1.0 vs 0.0
Danny HenryHakeem Dawodu

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Danny Henry(4 fights)Hakeem Dawodu(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -87.0|Blue +87.0
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Danny HenryTargetHakeem Dawodu

By target zone

2
50% acc · 100%
Head
1
100% acc · 33%
0
0% acc
Body
0
0
Leg
2
100% acc · 67%

By position

2
50% acc · 100%
Distance
3
100% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
0
0% acc
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Danny Henry rounds
0
even
0
Hakeem Dawodu rounds
Round 1Danny Henry edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:13
Knockdowns1
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
2 / 5
Sig Strikes
3 / 3
40%
Sig Str %
100%
2 / 5
Total Strikes
3 / 3
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:13
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Hakeem Dawodu3 / 33 / 30 / 00
1Danny Henry2 / 52 / 50 / 01

Danny Henry

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4

Hakeem Dawodu

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights10