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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Dan Ige won · SUB R1

Elo1386

Elo1485

Danny HenryvsDan IgeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · Saturday, March 16, 2019London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Dan Ige won

SUB · Round 1 · 1:17

Style matchupDanny Henry: Pressure fightervsDan Ige: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Danny Henry wins(68.0%)

Actual result: Dan Ige wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Danny Henry at +130 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dan Ige has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Danny Henry

Red Corner

Dan Ige

Blue Corner

+130

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-140

(58%)

1386

Elo

1485

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'7"

185.42 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Danny Henry

oldest →

vs Daniel Teymur · Jul 17

SUBvs Hakeem Dawodu · Mar 18

SUBvs Makwan Amirkhani · Jul 20

latest

Dan IgeL2 streak

oldest →

vs Diego Lopes · Jun 24

vs Lerone Murphy · Oct 24

KOvs Sean Woodson · Apr 25

vs Patricio Freire · Jul 25

KOvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Danny HenryMetricDan Ige

5.20

Strikes / min

3.60

4.16

Strikes absorbed / min

3.56

45%

Strike defense

56%

0.74

TDs / 15 min

0.93

50%

Takedown defense

56%

2.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.04evenly matched on net striking+0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Danny HenryDan Ige

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Danny Henry(4 fights)Dan Ige(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -99.1|Blue +99.1

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +1.5|Blue -1.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +273.0|Blue -273.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Danny HenryTargetDan Ige

By target zone

40% acc · 50%

Head

50% acc · 70%

100% acc · 25%

Body

100% acc · 30%

100% acc · 25%

Leg

By position

57% acc · 100%

Distance

50% acc · 40%

Clinch

Ground

67% acc · 60%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Danny Henry rounds

even

Dan Ige rounds

Round 1Dan Ige edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:30Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

4 / 7

Sig Strikes

10 / 17

57%

Sig Str %

58%

4 / 7

Total Strikes

10 / 17

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:30

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Dan Ige	10 / 17	10 / 17	1 / 1	1
1	Danny Henry	4 / 7	4 / 7	0 / 0	0

Danny Henry

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights4

Dan Ige

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights21