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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Danny Barlow won · S-DEC R3

Elo1488

Elo1492

Danny BarlowvsNikolay VeretennikovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · Saturday, August 10, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Danny Barlow won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDanny Barlow: Pressure fightervsNikolay Veretennikov: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Danny Barlow wins(79.7%)

Actual result: Danny Barlow wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Danny Barlow at -425 American odds

+$24 profit

$124 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Danny Barlow is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Nikolay Veretennikov has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Nikolay Veretennikov is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Danny Barlow has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Danny Barlow has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Danny Barlow (53.5%).
Danny Barlow has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Danny Barlow

Red Corner

Nikolay Veretennikov

Blue Corner

-425

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+300

(25%)

1488

Elo

1492

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'1"

200.66 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Danny BarlowL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Josh Quinlan · Feb 24

KOvs Sam Patterson · Mar 25

vs Djorden Santos · Oct 25

latest

Nikolay Veretennikov

oldest →

KOvs Austin Vanderford · Feb 25

vs Francisco Prado · Jul 25

vs Punahele Soriano · Oct 25

KOvs Niko Price · Feb 26

KOvs Khaos Williams · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Danny BarlowMetricNikolay Veretennikov

5.81

Strikes / min

2.69

4.65

Strikes absorbed / min

3.30

52%

Strike defense

45%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.42

100%

Takedown defense

62%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.16Δ 1.77 — meaningful gap-0.61

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Danny BarlowNikolay Veretennikov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Danny Barlow(4 fights)Nikolay Veretennikov(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -4.8|Blue +4.8

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Danny BarlowTargetNikolay Veretennikov

By target zone

40% acc · 53%

Head

39% acc · 46%

54% acc · 15%

Body

79% acc · 44%

65% acc · 32%

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

47% acc · 98%

Distance

52% acc · 90%

100% acc · 2%

Clinch

100% acc · 10%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Danny Barlow rounds

even

Nikolay Veretennikov rounds

Round 1Danny Barlow edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:17

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:45

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Round 3Nikolay Veretennikov edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:14

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

47 / 99

Sig Strikes

50 / 92

47.3%

Sig Str %

54.3%

52 / 107

Total Strikes

59 / 101

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 2

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:16

Ctrl Time

0:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Nikolay Veretennikov	10 / 15	10 / 15	0 / 1
1	Danny Barlow	17 / 32	18 / 33	0 / 2
2	Nikolay Veretennikov	11 / 29	19 / 37	0 / 1
2	Danny Barlow	11 / 25	15 / 32	0 / 0
3	Nikolay Veretennikov	29 / 48	30 / 49	0 / 0
3	Danny Barlow	19 / 42	19 / 42	0 / 0

Danny Barlow

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights4

Nikolay Veretennikov

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights5