Welterweight

3 Rounds

Daniil Donchenko won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1562

Elo1470

Daniil DonchenkovsTheodor BerggrenUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · Saturday, June 27, 2026Baku, Azerbaijan

Official fight result

Daniil Donchenko won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:35

Model Prediction: Daniil Donchenko wins(65.1%)

Actual result: Daniil Donchenko wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Daniil Donchenko

Red Corner

Theodor Berggren

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1562

Elo

1470

Age

N/A

Orthodox

Stance

N/A

5'11"

Height

N/A

180.34 cm

Reach

N/A

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Daniil DonchenkoW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Rodrigo Sezinando · Sep 25

vs Alex Morono · Feb 26

latest

Theodor BerggrenNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Daniil DonchenkoMetricTheodor Berggren

7.15

Strikes / min

—

2.57

Strikes absorbed / min

—

72%

Strike defense

—

0.77

TDs / 15 min

—

75%

Takedown defense

—

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

—

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Daniil Donchenko(3 fights)Theodor Berggren(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +91.7|Blue -91.7

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Daniil DonchenkoTargetTheodor Berggren

By target zone

36% acc · 23%

Head

30% acc · 65%

81% acc · 37%

Body

54% acc · 30%

94% acc · 41%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

66% acc · 86%

Distance

33% acc · 87%

77% acc · 14%

Clinch

75% acc · 13%

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Daniil Donchenko rounds

even

Theodor Berggren rounds

Round 1Daniil Donchenko edged it

Sig. strikes57

Takedowns0

Control0:20

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:17Control

Round 2Daniil Donchenko edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:07

Knockdowns2

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

71 / 107

Sig Strikes

23 / 64

62.5%

Sig Str %

35.5%

73 / 109

Total Strikes

29 / 71

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:27

Ctrl Time

0:17

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Theodor Berggren	17 / 47	23 / 54	0 / 0
1	Daniil Donchenko	57 / 82	58 / 83	0 / 0
2	Theodor Berggren	6 / 17	6 / 17	0 / 0
2	Daniil Donchenko	14 / 25	15 / 26	0 / 0

Daniil Donchenko

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights4

Theodor Berggren

Stance—

Height—

Reach—

Fights1