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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Daniil Donchenko won · Decision R3

Elo1559

Elo1533

Daniil DonchenkovsPunahele SorianoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · Saturday, September 5, 2026Paris, France

Official fight result

Daniil Donchenko won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Daniil Donchenko enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Punahele Soriano enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Daniil Donchenko has 25pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Daniil Donchenko has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Daniil Donchenko

Red Corner

Punahele Soriano

Blue Corner

-239

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+193

(34%)

1559

Elo

1533

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

5'11"

180.34 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Daniil DonchenkoW3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Rodrigo Sezinando · Sep 25

vs Alex Morono · Feb 26

KOvs Theodor Berggren · Jun 26

latest

Punahele SorianoW4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Dustin Stoltzfus · Dec 23

vs Miguel Baeza · Jun 24

KOvs Uros Medic · Jan 25

vs Nikolay Veretennikov · Oct 25

vs Ramiz Brahimaj · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Daniil DonchenkoMetricPunahele Soriano

7.15

Strikes / min

4.42

2.57

Strikes absorbed / min

3.31

72%

Strike defense

47%

0.77

TDs / 15 min

1.97

75%

Takedown defense

48%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+4.58Δ 3.47 — meaningful gap+1.11

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Daniil Donchenko(3 fights)Punahele Soriano(10 fights)

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Daniil DonchenkoTargetPunahele Soriano

By target zone

49% acc · 55%

Head

18% acc · 80%

78% acc · 25%

Body

19% acc · 20%

100% acc · 19%

Leg

By position

55% acc · 77%

Distance

14% acc · 73%

85% acc · 13%

Clinch

67% acc · 27%

100% acc · 10%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Daniil Donchenko rounds

even

Punahele Soriano rounds

Round 1Daniil Donchenko edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control0:39

Knockdowns1

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Daniil Donchenko edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:00

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:11Control

Round 3Punahele Soriano edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:02

4Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

3:16Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

83 / 137

Sig Strikes

15 / 84

57.3%

Sig Str %

20%

120 / 180

Total Strikes

43 / 115

0 / 1

TDs

4 / 11

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:41

Ctrl Time

3:32

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Punahele Soriano	5 / 22	5 / 22	0 / 3	0
1	Daniil Donchenko	37 / 53	50 / 67	0 / 0	0
2	Punahele Soriano	6 / 47	6 / 47	1 / 2	0
2	Daniil Donchenko	33 / 52	33 / 52	0 / 1	0
3	Punahele Soriano	4 / 15	32 / 46	3 / 6	1
3	Daniil Donchenko	13 / 32	37 / 61	0 / 0	0

Daniil Donchenko

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights5

Punahele Soriano

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights12