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Welterweight
3 Rounds
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Elo1559
Elo1495

Daniil DonchenkovsAndreas GustafssonUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · Saturday, June 27, 2026Baku, Azerbaijan

Fight begins in
Style matchupDaniil Donchenko: Elusive strikervsAndreas Gustafsson: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Daniil Donchenko enters on a 4-fight win streak.
  • Daniil Donchenko has 27pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Andreas Gustafsson has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Daniil Donchenko
Red Corner
VS
Andreas Gustafsson
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1559
Elo
1495
25
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'1"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Daniil DonchenkoW4 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Rodrigo Sezinando · Sep 25
W
vs Alex Morono · Feb 26
W
KOvs Theodor Berggren · Jun 26
W
DECvs Punahele Soriano · Sep 26
latest
Andreas Gustafsson
oldest →
W
vs Khaos Williams · Jun 25
L
KOvs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Sep 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Daniil DonchenkoMetricAndreas Gustafsson
7.15
Strikes / min
5.82
2.57
Strikes absorbed / min
3.63
72%
Strike defense
45%
0.77
TDs / 15 min
6.19
75%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+4.58Δ 2.39 — meaningful gap+2.19
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801503152515481570← oldermost recent →
Daniil Donchenko(3 fights)Andreas Gustafsson(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +64.5|Blue -64.5
Recent Form
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Layoff
Red -154.0|Blue +154.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Daniil Donchenko

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5

Andreas Gustafsson

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2