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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

JJ Aldrich won · U-DEC R3

Elo1367

Elo1522

Danielle TaylorvsJJ AldrichUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · Sunday, January 14, 2018St. Louis, Missouri, USA

Official fight result

JJ Aldrich won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: JJ Aldrich wins(66.6%)

Actual result: JJ Aldrich wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

JJ Aldrich at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Danielle Taylor has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors JJ Aldrich (53.5%).
JJ Aldrich has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Danielle Taylor

Red Corner

JJ Aldrich

Blue Corner

+110

(48%)

Vegas Odds

-130

(57%)

1367

Elo

1522

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'0"

Height

5'5"

152.4 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Danielle Taylor

oldest →

vs Maryna Moroz · Aug 16

DECvs Seohee Ham · Nov 16

vs Jessica Penne · Apr 17

vs Weili Zhang · Aug 18

latest

JJ AldrichW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Liang Na · Aug 23

vs Montana De La Rosa · Oct 23

vs Veronica Hardy · May 24

vs Andrea Lee · Mar 25

DECvs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Danielle TaylorMetricJJ Aldrich

2.75

Strikes / min

3.92

3.31

Strikes absorbed / min

4.34

71%

Strike defense

61%

0.20

TDs / 15 min

0.70

70%

Takedown defense

67%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.56evenly matched on net striking-0.42

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Danielle TaylorJJ Aldrich

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Danielle Taylor(5 fights)JJ Aldrich(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -155.0|Blue +155.0

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Danielle TaylorTargetJJ Aldrich

By target zone

20% acc · 55%

Head

34% acc · 87%

47% acc · 21%

Body

50% acc · 9%

75% acc · 24%

Leg

67% acc · 4%

By position

27% acc · 92%

Distance

34% acc · 89%

33% acc · 5%

Clinch

86% acc · 11%

100% acc · 3%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Danielle Taylor rounds

even

JJ Aldrich rounds

Round 1JJ Aldrich edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:47Control

Round 2JJ Aldrich edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 3JJ Aldrich edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

38 / 136

Sig Strikes

54 / 150

27%

Sig Str %

33.7%

64 / 163

Total Strikes

67 / 164

0 / 1

TDs

1 / 5

TD %

11%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

1:51

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	JJ Aldrich	8 / 34	21 / 48	1 / 3
1	Danielle Taylor	7 / 38	27 / 59	0 / 0
2	JJ Aldrich	20 / 52	20 / 52	0 / 1
2	Danielle Taylor	17 / 56	23 / 62	0 / 0
3	JJ Aldrich	26 / 64	26 / 64	0 / 1
3	Danielle Taylor	14 / 42	14 / 42	0 / 1

Danielle Taylor

StanceOrthodox

Height60.0"

Reach60.0"

Fights5

JJ Aldrich

StanceSouthpaw

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights16