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Lightweight

3 Rounds

King Green won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1476

Elo1568

Daniel ZellhubervsKing GreenUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · Saturday, February 28, 2026Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico

Official fight result

King Green won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:55

Style matchupDaniel Zellhuber: Pressure fightervsKing Green: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: King Green wins(81.8%)

Actual result: King Green wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

King Green at +290 American odds

+$290 profit

$390 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

King Green enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Zellhuber (52.9%).
Daniel Zellhuber has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Daniel Zellhuber

Red Corner

King Green

Blue Corner

-420

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+290

(26%)

1476

Elo

1568

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'10"

195.58 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Daniel ZellhuberL2 streak

oldest →

vs Lando Vannata · Apr 23

SUBvs Christos Giagos · Sep 23

vs Francisco Prado · Feb 24

vs Esteban Ribovics · Sep 24

vs Michael Johnson · Jul 25

latest

King GreenW3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Paddy Pimblett · Jul 24

KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · Mar 25

vs Lance Gibson Jr. · Dec 25

SUBvs Jeremy Stephens · May 26

KOvs Terrance McKinney · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Daniel ZellhuberMetricKing Green

5.45

Strikes / min

6.46

6.17

Strikes absorbed / min

3.55

54%

Strike defense

62%

0.14

TDs / 15 min

1.33

81%

Takedown defense

72%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.72Δ 3.63 — meaningful gap+2.91

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Daniel ZellhuberKing Green

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Daniel Zellhuber(7 fights)King Green(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -92.1|Blue +92.1

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +147.0|Blue -147.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Daniel ZellhuberTargetKing Green

By target zone

12% acc · 41%

Head

54% acc · 45%

40% acc · 24%

Body

72% acc · 24%

67% acc · 35%

Leg

79% acc · 30%

By position

22% acc · 100%

Distance

60% acc · 83%

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 6%

Ground

100% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Daniel Zellhuber rounds

even

King Green rounds

Round 1King Green edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:00

41Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 2King Green edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

45Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:01Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 78

Sig Strikes

86 / 134

20.5%

Sig Str %

64%

17 / 78

Total Strikes

100 / 148

0 / 0

TDs

3 / 3

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

2:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	King Green	41 / 64	41 / 64	2 / 2	0
1	Daniel Zellhuber	11 / 46	11 / 46	0 / 0	0
2	King Green	45 / 70	59 / 84	1 / 1	0
2	Daniel Zellhuber	6 / 32	6 / 32	0 / 0	1

Daniel Zellhuber

StanceSwitch

Height73.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights7

King Green

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights10