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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Daniel Santos won · U-DEC R3

Elo1523

Elo1478

Daniel SantosvsJohnny MunozUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · Saturday, June 3, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Daniel Santos won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDaniel Santos: WrestlervsJohnny Munoz: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Daniel Santos wins(59.4%)

Actual result: Daniel Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Daniel Santos at -225 American odds

+$44 profit

$144 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Daniel Santos has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Johnny Munoz has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Daniel Santos

Red Corner

Johnny Munoz

Blue Corner

-225

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+188

(35%)

1523

Elo

1478

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'9"

170.18 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Daniel Santos

oldest →

vs Julio Arce · Apr 22

KOvs John Castaneda · Oct 22

vs JeongYeong Lee · May 25

KOvs JooSang Yoo · Oct 25

KOvs Dooho Choi · May 26

latest

Johnny Munoz

oldest →

vs Nate Maness · Aug 20

SUBvs Jamey Simmons · Aug 21

KOvs Tony Gravely · Jun 22

vs Liudvik Sholinian · Nov 22

vs Aoriqileng · Oct 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Daniel SantosMetricJohnny Munoz

4.76

Strikes / min

2.44

5.03

Strikes absorbed / min

2.66

51%

Strike defense

55%

3.01

TDs / 15 min

2.40

73%

Takedown defense

45%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.27evenly matched on net striking-0.22

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Daniel SantosJohnny Munoz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Daniel Santos(6 fights)Johnny Munoz(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +44.2|Blue -44.2

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Daniel SantosTargetJohnny Munoz

By target zone

48% acc · 60%

Head

31% acc · 44%

79% acc · 30%

Body

80% acc · 44%

50% acc · 10%

Leg

67% acc · 11%

By position

26% acc · 20%

Distance

50% acc · 83%

86% acc · 12%

Clinch

33% acc · 17%

74% acc · 68%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Daniel Santos rounds

even

Johnny Munoz rounds

Round 1Daniel Santos edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control2:54

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:21Control

Round 2Daniel Santos edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns1

Control4:01

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:25Control

Round 3Daniel Santos edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns2

Control3:52

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:33Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

50 / 91

Sig Strikes

18 / 39

52.7%

Sig Str %

48%

134 / 198

Total Strikes

64 / 101

3 / 4

TDs

1 / 8

66.7%

TD %

11%

Sub Att

Rev

10:47

Ctrl Time

1:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Johnny Munoz	8 / 17	25 / 38	0 / 4	1
1	Daniel Santos	7 / 28	21 / 46	0 / 1	0
2	Johnny Munoz	6 / 15	19 / 29	0 / 1	0
2	Daniel Santos	29 / 41	65 / 92	1 / 1	0
3	Johnny Munoz	4 / 7	20 / 34	1 / 3	0
3	Daniel Santos	14 / 22	48 / 60	2 / 2	0

Daniel Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights5

Johnny Munoz

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6