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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Daniel Santos won · U-DEC R3

Elo1523

Elo1489

Daniel SantosvsJeongYeong LeeUFC Prediction Result

UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · Saturday, May 10, 2025Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Official fight result

Daniel Santos won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDaniel Santos: WrestlervsJeongYeong Lee: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Daniel Santos wins(62.5%)

Actual result: Daniel Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Daniel Santos at +114 American odds

+$114 profit

$214 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Daniel Santos is a KO finisher (50% of wins). JeongYeong Lee has lost 50% of fights by KO.
JeongYeong Lee has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Daniel Santos

Red Corner

JeongYeong Lee

Blue Corner

+114

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-134

(57%)

1523

Elo

1489

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'10"

170.18 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Daniel Santos

oldest →

vs Julio Arce · Apr 22

KOvs John Castaneda · Oct 22

vs Johnny Munoz · Jun 23

KOvs JooSang Yoo · Oct 25

KOvs Dooho Choi · May 26

latest

JeongYeong Lee

oldest →

vs Yizha · Feb 23

vs Blake Bilder · Feb 24

KOvs Hyder Amil · Jul 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Daniel SantosMetricJeongYeong Lee

4.76

Strikes / min

3.38

5.03

Strikes absorbed / min

3.82

51%

Strike defense

50%

3.01

TDs / 15 min

0.63

73%

Takedown defense

72%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.27evenly matched on net striking-0.44

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Daniel SantosJeongYeong Lee

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Daniel Santos(6 fights)JeongYeong Lee(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +33.5|Blue -33.5

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +413.0|Blue -413.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Daniel SantosTargetJeongYeong Lee

By target zone

43% acc · 66%

Head

36% acc · 59%

60% acc · 20%

Body

67% acc · 24%

72% acc · 14%

Leg

86% acc · 18%

By position

47% acc · 91%

Distance

45% acc · 96%

50% acc · 1%

Clinch

75% acc · 4%

88% acc · 8%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Daniel Santos rounds

even

JeongYeong Lee rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control1:07

35Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Daniel Santos edged it

Sig. strikes39

Takedowns3

Control2:28

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Daniel Santos edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns3

Control2:31

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

90 / 184

Sig Strikes

68 / 150

48.7%

Sig Str %

43.3%

119 / 213

Total Strikes

107 / 190

6 / 18

TDs

0 / 0

32.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

6:06

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	JeongYeong Lee	35 / 61	35 / 61	0 / 0
1	Daniel Santos	33 / 78	40 / 85	0 / 5
2	JeongYeong Lee	20 / 52	48 / 80	0 / 0
2	Daniel Santos	39 / 67	51 / 79	3 / 5
3	JeongYeong Lee	13 / 37	24 / 49	0 / 0
3	Daniel Santos	18 / 39	28 / 49	3 / 8

Daniel Santos

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights5

JeongYeong Lee

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights4