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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Daniel Rodriguez won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1520

Elo1490

Daniel RodriguezvsPreston ParsonsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · Saturday, July 17, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Daniel Rodriguez won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:47

Style matchupDaniel Rodriguez: Pressure fightervsPreston Parsons: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Daniel Rodriguez wins(70.0%)

Actual result: Daniel Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Daniel Rodriguez at -300 American odds

+$33 profit

$133 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Daniel Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Rodriguez (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Daniel Rodriguez

Red Corner

Preston Parsons

Blue Corner

-300

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+235

(30%)

1520

Elo

1490

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'11"

187.96 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Daniel RodriguezW3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Ian Machado Garry · May 23

vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jun 24

vs Alex Morono · Oct 24

KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · May 25

vs Kevin Holland · Jul 25

latest

Preston ParsonsL2 streak

oldest →

vs Evan Elder · Apr 22

vs Trevin Giles · Mar 23

vs Matthew Semelsberger · Jan 24

vs Oban Elliott · Jul 24

KOvs Jacobe Smith · Jan 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Daniel RodriguezMetricPreston Parsons

7.20

Strikes / min

3.54

5.40

Strikes absorbed / min

3.25

57%

Strike defense

54%

0.51

TDs / 15 min

3.46

64%

Takedown defense

71%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

2.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.80Δ 1.51 — meaningful gap+0.29

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Daniel RodriguezPreston Parsons

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Daniel Rodriguez(10 fights)Preston Parsons(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +30.8|Blue -30.8

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -49.3|Blue +49.3

Grappler Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Daniel RodriguezTargetPreston Parsons

By target zone

50% acc · 80%

Head

42% acc · 61%

50% acc · 4%

Body

80% acc · 17%

100% acc · 16%

Leg

100% acc · 22%

By position

55% acc · 84%

Distance

53% acc · 100%

50% acc · 2%

Clinch

50% acc · 13%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Daniel Rodriguez rounds

even

Preston Parsons rounds

Round 1Daniel Rodriguez edged it

Sig. strikes45

Takedowns0

Control0:09

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:15Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

45 / 83

Sig Strikes

23 / 43

54%

Sig Str %

53%

46 / 84

Total Strikes

24 / 44

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 4

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:09

Ctrl Time

0:15

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Preston Parsons	23 / 43	24 / 44	0 / 4	0
1	Daniel Rodriguez	45 / 83	46 / 84	0 / 0	0

Daniel Rodriguez

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights14

Preston Parsons

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6