← All fights/Event page

Welterweight

3 Rounds

Rich Attonito won · U-DEC R3

Elo1351

Elo1490

Daniel RobertsvsRich AttonitoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · Sunday, June 26, 2011Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA

Official fight result

Rich Attonito won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Rich Attonito wins(52.2%)

Actual result: Rich Attonito wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rich Attonito at -110 American odds

+$91 profit

$191 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rich Attonito has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Rich Attonito has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Roberts (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Daniel Roberts

Red Corner

Rich Attonito

Blue Corner

-110

(52%)

Vegas Odds

-110

(52%)

1351

Elo

1490

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'10"

187.96 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Daniel RobertsL2 streak

oldest →

vs Forrest Petz · Jul 10

SUBvs Mike Guymon · Oct 10

SUBvs Greg Soto · Jan 11

vs Claude Patrick · Apr 11

vs Charlie Brenneman · Jan 12

latest

Rich AttonitoL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jamie Yager · Jun 10

vs Rafael Natal · Sep 10

vs David Branch · Dec 10

KOvs Jake Hecht · Dec 11

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Daniel RobertsMetricRich Attonito

0.73

Strikes / min

2.28

2.27

Strikes absorbed / min

2.13

46%

Strike defense

59%

2.46

TDs / 15 min

0.74

40%

Takedown defense

75%

2.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.54Δ 1.69 — meaningful gap+0.15

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Daniel RobertsRich Attonito

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Daniel Roberts(7 fights)Rich Attonito(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -138.9|Blue +138.9

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red -147.0|Blue +147.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Daniel RobertsTargetRich Attonito

By target zone

20% acc · 39%

Head

55% acc · 61%

73% acc · 48%

Body

88% acc · 23%

60% acc · 13%

Leg

100% acc · 17%

By position

30% acc · 78%

Distance

63% acc · 44%

100% acc · 22%

Clinch

55% acc · 9%

Ground

70% acc · 47%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Daniel Roberts rounds

even

Rich Attonito rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:02Control

Round 2Rich Attonito edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns1

Control1:19

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:28Control

Round 3Rich Attonito edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

36Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:14Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

23 / 66

Sig Strikes

66 / 101

35%

Sig Str %

64.3%

26 / 69

Total Strikes

113 / 153

1 / 7

TDs

1 / 2

11%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

1:19

Ctrl Time

5:44

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Rich Attonito	11 / 26	19 / 35	0 / 1	0
1	Daniel Roberts	14 / 41	15 / 42	0 / 2	0
2	Rich Attonito	19 / 23	50 / 57	0 / 0	0
2	Daniel Roberts	0 / 0	1 / 1	1 / 3	1
3	Rich Attonito	36 / 52	44 / 61	1 / 1	0
3	Daniel Roberts	9 / 25	10 / 26	0 / 2	0

Daniel Roberts

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights7

Rich Attonito

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights5