Featherweight

3 Rounds

Rob Whiteford won · Decision R3

Elo1489

Elo1357

Daniel PinedavsRob WhitefordUFC Prediction Result

UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · Saturday, March 15, 2014Dallas, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Rob Whiteford won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Daniel Pineda wins(55.9%)

Actual result: Rob Whiteford wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Daniel Pineda at -210 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Daniel Pineda threatens submissions; Rob Whiteford has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Stance matchup historically favors Rob Whiteford (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Daniel Pineda

Red Corner

Rob Whiteford

Blue Corner

-210

(68%)

Vegas Odds

+190

(34%)

1489

Elo

1357

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'9"

175.26 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Daniel PinedaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Cub Swanson · Dec 20

SUBvs Tucker Lutz · Mar 23

vs Alex Caceres · Jun 23

vs Nathaniel Wood · Jul 24

vs Darren Elkins · Oct 24

latest

Rob WhitefordL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jimy Hettes · Oct 13

KOvs Paul Redmond · Jul 15

DECvs Darren Elkins · Oct 15

DECvs Lucas Martins · Apr 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Daniel PinedaMetricRob Whiteford

2.85

Strikes / min

—

3.26

Strikes absorbed / min

—

45%

Strike defense

—

1.42

TDs / 15 min

—

54%

Takedown defense

—

1.50

Sub atts / 15 min

—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Daniel PinedaRob Whiteford

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Daniel Pineda(10 fights)Rob Whiteford(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +132.4|Blue -132.4

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +70.0|Blue -70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Daniel Pineda

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights13

Rob Whiteford

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights2