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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Tim Johnson won · Decision R3
Elo1361
Elo1491

Daniel OmielanczukvsTim JohnsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · Saturday, March 18, 2017London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Tim Johnson won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Daniel Omielanczuk wins(51.2%)

Actual result: Tim Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Daniel Omielanczuk at +170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Daniel Omielanczuk
Red Corner
VS
Tim Johnson
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
1361
Elo
1491
43
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'3"
187.96 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Daniel OmielanczukL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Chris de la Rocha · Jul 15
W
vs Jarjis Danho · Feb 16
W
vs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 16
L
SUBvs Stefan Struve · Oct 16
L
vs Curtis Blaydes · Jul 17
latest
Tim Johnson
oldest →
L
DECvs Jared Rosholt · Aug 15
W
DECvs Marcin Tybura · Apr 16
L
DECvs Alexander Volkov · Nov 16
L
KOvs Junior Albini · Jul 17
W
DECvs Marcelo Golm · Feb 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Daniel OmielanczukMetricTim Johnson
3.09
Strikes / min
—
3.29
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47%
Strike defense
—
0.56
TDs / 15 min
—
68%
Takedown defense
—
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1514 vs 1500Strikes32.4 vs 34.0Takedowns0.6 vs 1.3Sub Atts0.14 vs 0.00Form0.1 vs -0.3
Daniel OmielanczukTim Johnson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Daniel Omielanczuk(9 fights)Tim Johnson(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -130.0|Blue +130.0
Recent Form
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Daniel Omielanczuk

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9

Tim Johnson

StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4