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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Daniel Omielanczuk won · M-DEC R3

Elo1361

Elo1494

Daniel OmielanczukvsJarjis DanhoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · Saturday, February 27, 2016London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Daniel Omielanczuk won

M-DEC · Round 3 · 1:31

Style matchupDaniel Omielanczuk: Well-roundedvsJarjis Danho: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Daniel Omielanczuk wins(60.8%)

Actual result: Daniel Omielanczuk wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Daniel Omielanczuk at -110 American odds

+$91 profit

$191 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Daniel Omielanczuk enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jarjis Danho has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Omielanczuk (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Daniel Omielanczuk

Red Corner

Jarjis Danho

Blue Corner

-110

(52%)

Vegas Odds

-110

(52%)

1361

Elo

1494

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'3"

187.96 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Daniel OmielanczukL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Chris de la Rocha · Jul 15

vs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 16

SUBvs Stefan Struve · Oct 16

DECvs Tim Johnson · Mar 17

vs Curtis Blaydes · Jul 17

latest

Jarjis Danho

oldest →

KOvs Yorgan De Castro · Apr 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Daniel OmielanczukMetricJarjis Danho

3.09

Strikes / min

3.38

3.29

Strikes absorbed / min

5.25

47%

Strike defense

49%

0.56

TDs / 15 min

0.51

68%

Takedown defense

100%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.20Δ 1.67 — meaningful gap-1.87

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Daniel OmielanczukJarjis Danho

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Daniel Omielanczuk(9 fights)Jarjis Danho(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -132.6|Blue +132.6

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -48.1|Blue +48.1

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Daniel OmielanczukTargetJarjis Danho

By target zone

38% acc · 39%

Head

35% acc · 66%

74% acc · 30%

Body

85% acc · 29%

96% acc · 31%

Leg

50% acc · 5%

By position

51% acc · 66%

Distance

33% acc · 50%

77% acc · 30%

Clinch

63% acc · 50%

60% acc · 4%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Daniel Omielanczuk rounds

even

Jarjis Danho rounds

Round 1Jarjis Danho edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:14

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:45Control

Round 2Daniel Omielanczuk edged it

Sig. strikes41

Takedowns0

Control0:29

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Daniel Omielanczuk edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:01

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

77 / 135

Sig Strikes

38 / 88

58%

Sig Str %

42.3%

90 / 149

Total Strikes

55 / 108

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:44

Ctrl Time

2:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jarjis Danho	23 / 44	40 / 64	0 / 0
1	Daniel Omielanczuk	25 / 41	34 / 50	0 / 2
2	Jarjis Danho	9 / 31	9 / 31	0 / 0
2	Daniel Omielanczuk	41 / 76	45 / 80	0 / 0
3	Jarjis Danho	6 / 13	6 / 13	0 / 0
3	Daniel Omielanczuk	11 / 18	11 / 19	0 / 0

Daniel Omielanczuk

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights9

Jarjis Danho

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights2