Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Anthony Hamilton won · U-DEC R3

Elo1361

Elo1363

Daniel OmielanczukvsAnthony HamiltonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · Saturday, April 11, 2015Krakow, Poland

Official fight result

Anthony Hamilton won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDaniel Omielanczuk: Well-roundedvsAnthony Hamilton: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Daniel Omielanczuk wins(63.5%)

Actual result: Anthony Hamilton wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Daniel Omielanczuk at -135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Daniel Omielanczuk enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Anthony Hamilton enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Omielanczuk (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Daniel Omielanczuk

Red Corner

Anthony Hamilton

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+115

(47%)

1361

Elo

1363

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'5"

187.96 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Daniel OmielanczukL3 streak

oldest →

vs Jarjis Danho · Feb 16

vs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 16

SUBvs Stefan Struve · Oct 16

DECvs Tim Johnson · Mar 17

vs Curtis Blaydes · Jul 17

latest

Anthony HamiltonL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Damian Grabowski · Jul 16

SUBvs Francis Ngannou · Dec 16

KOvs Marcel Fortuna · Feb 17

KOvs Daniel Spitz · Sep 17

vs Adam Wieczorek · Nov 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Daniel OmielanczukMetricAnthony Hamilton

3.09

Strikes / min

3.91

3.29

Strikes absorbed / min

3.02

47%

Strike defense

45%

0.56

TDs / 15 min

2.62

68%

Takedown defense

78%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.20Δ 1.09 — meaningful gap+0.89

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Daniel OmielanczukAnthony Hamilton

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Daniel Omielanczuk(9 fights)Anthony Hamilton(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.7|Blue +1.7

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +239.0|Blue -239.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Daniel OmielanczukTargetAnthony Hamilton

By target zone

70% acc · 44%

Head

66% acc · 35%

94% acc · 47%

Body

96% acc · 61%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

60% acc · 8%

Distance

25% acc · 4%

82% acc · 75%

Clinch

94% acc · 53%

100% acc · 17%

Ground

88% acc · 43%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Daniel Omielanczuk rounds

even

Anthony Hamilton rounds

Round 1Anthony Hamilton edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:08

35Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:46Control

Round 2Anthony Hamilton edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control1:18

18Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:12Control

Round 3Anthony Hamilton edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:03

30Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:26Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 44

Sig Strikes

83 / 100

77%

Sig Str %

82.7%

81 / 91

Total Strikes

113 / 131

1 / 3

TDs

3 / 4

33%

TD %

83.3%

Sub Att

Rev

1:29

Ctrl Time

12:24

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Anthony Hamilton	35 / 41	37 / 43	1 / 1
1	Daniel Omielanczuk	2 / 3	7 / 8	0 / 0
2	Anthony Hamilton	18 / 21	24 / 28	1 / 1
2	Daniel Omielanczuk	15 / 20	40 / 47	1 / 3
3	Anthony Hamilton	30 / 38	52 / 60	1 / 2
3	Daniel Omielanczuk	19 / 21	34 / 36	0 / 0

Daniel Omielanczuk

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights9

Anthony Hamilton

StanceOrthodox

Height77.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights10