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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Khalil Rountree Jr. won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1359
Daniel Jolly
Elo1502

Daniel JollyvsKhalil Rountree Jr.UFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, February 4, 2017Houston, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Khalil Rountree Jr. won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:52

Style matchupDaniel Jolly: WrestlervsKhalil Rountree Jr.: Striker

Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Khalil Rountree Jr. wins(70.8%)

Actual result: Khalil Rountree Jr. wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Khalil Rountree Jr. at -185 American odds

+$54 profit

$154 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Khalil Rountree Jr. is a KO finisher (70% of wins). Daniel Jolly has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Khalil Rountree Jr. (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Daniel Jolly
Red Corner
VS
Khalil Rountree Jr.
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-185
(65%)
1359
Elo
1502
41
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Daniel Jolly
oldest →
L
KOvs Misha Cirkunov · Aug 15
latest
Khalil Rountree Jr.
oldest →
W
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Aug 23
W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 23
L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 24
W
vs Jamahal Hill · Jun 25
L
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Oct 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Daniel JollyMetricKhalil Rountree Jr.
1.32
Strikes / min
3.88
3.39
Strikes absorbed / min
4.33
44%
Strike defense
49%
2.83
TDs / 15 min
0.00
50%
Takedown defense
58%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.07Δ 1.62 — meaningful gap-0.45

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1484 vs 1469Strikes6.0 vs 8.5Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs -1.0
Daniel JollyKhalil Rountree Jr.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Daniel Jolly(2 fights)Khalil Rountree Jr.(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -143.2|Blue +143.2
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +461.0|Blue -461.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Daniel JollyTargetKhalil Rountree Jr.

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
1
100% acc · 33%
0
Body
2
100% acc · 67%
0
0% acc
Leg
0

By position

0
0% acc
Distance
0
0
Clinch
1
100% acc · 33%
0
Ground
2
100% acc · 67%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Daniel Jolly rounds
0
even
1
Khalil Rountree Jr. rounds
Round 1Khalil Rountree Jr. edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:08
Knockdowns0
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
0 / 3
Sig Strikes
3 / 3
0%
Sig Str %
100%
0 / 3
Total Strikes
5 / 6
0 / 2
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:08
Ctrl Time
0:01

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Khalil Rountree Jr.3 / 35 / 60 / 00
1Daniel Jolly0 / 30 / 30 / 20

Daniel Jolly

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights2

Khalil Rountree Jr.

StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights17