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Light Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Daniel Cormier won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1388

Elo1515

Daniel CormiervsVolkan OezdemirUFC Prediction Result

UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · Saturday, January 20, 2018Boston, Massachusetts, USA

Official fight result

Daniel Cormier won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:00

Style matchupDaniel Cormier: Well-roundedvsVolkan Oezdemir: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Daniel Cormier wins(63.4%)

Actual result: Daniel Cormier wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Daniel Cormier at -345 American odds

+$29 profit

$129 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Daniel Cormier

Red Corner

Volkan Oezdemir

Blue Corner

-345

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+285

(26%)

1388

Elo

1515

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'2"

182.88 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Daniel CormierL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Anthony Johnson · Apr 17

KOvs Stipe Miocic · Jul 18

SUBvs Derrick Lewis · Nov 18

KOvs Stipe Miocic · Aug 19

vs Stipe Miocic · Aug 20

latest

Volkan Oezdemir

oldest →

vs Nikita Krylov · Oct 22

SUBvs Bogdan Guskov · Sep 23

KOvs Johnny Walker · Jun 24

vs Carlos Ulberg · Nov 24

KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Daniel CormierMetricVolkan Oezdemir

4.25

Strikes / min

4.99

2.92

Strikes absorbed / min

4.19

54%

Strike defense

55%

1.83

TDs / 15 min

0.50

80%

Takedown defense

80%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.33evenly matched on net striking+0.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Daniel CormierVolkan Oezdemir

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Daniel Cormier(10 fights)Volkan Oezdemir(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -127.6|Blue +127.6

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +112.0|Blue -112.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Daniel CormierTargetVolkan Oezdemir

By target zone

51% acc · 94%

Head

37% acc · 61%

100% acc · 3%

Body

73% acc · 29%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

100% acc · 11%

By position

52% acc · 75%

Distance

47% acc · 87%

38% acc · 9%

Clinch

42% acc · 13%

71% acc · 16%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Daniel Cormier rounds

even

Volkan Oezdemir rounds

Round 1Volkan Oezdemir edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns1

Control0:16

37Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Round 2Daniel Cormier edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns1

Control1:27

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

32 / 61

Sig Strikes

38 / 82

60.5%

Sig Str %

39.5%

84 / 113

Total Strikes

42 / 86

2 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

75%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:43

Ctrl Time

0:06

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Volkan Oezdemir	37 / 79	41 / 83	0 / 0	0
1	Daniel Cormier	27 / 54	29 / 56	1 / 2	1
2	Volkan Oezdemir	1 / 3	1 / 3	0 / 0	0
2	Daniel Cormier	5 / 7	55 / 57	1 / 1	0

Daniel Cormier

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14

Volkan Oezdemir

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights16