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Light Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Daniel Cormier won · SUB R2

Elo1388

Elo1491

Daniel CormiervsAnthony JohnsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · Saturday, April 8, 2017Buffalo, New York, USA

Official fight result

Daniel Cormier won

SUB · Round 2 · 3:37

Style matchupDaniel Cormier: Well-roundedvsAnthony Johnson: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Daniel Cormier wins(56.9%)

Actual result: Daniel Cormier wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Daniel Cormier at +120 American odds

+$120 profit

$220 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Anthony Johnson enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Anthony Johnson has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Daniel Cormier

Red Corner

Anthony Johnson

Blue Corner

+120

(45%)

Vegas Odds

-140

(58%)

1388

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'2"

182.88 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Daniel CormierL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jan 18

KOvs Stipe Miocic · Jul 18

SUBvs Derrick Lewis · Nov 18

KOvs Stipe Miocic · Aug 19

vs Stipe Miocic · Aug 20

latest

Anthony JohnsonW3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Alexander Gustafsson · Jan 15

SUBvs Daniel Cormier · May 15

KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Sep 15

KOvs Ryan Bader · Jan 16

KOvs Glover Teixeira · Aug 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Daniel CormierMetricAnthony Johnson

4.25

Strikes / min

3.25

2.92

Strikes absorbed / min

1.83

54%

Strike defense

60%

1.83

TDs / 15 min

2.43

80%

Takedown defense

77%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.33evenly matched on net striking+1.42

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Daniel CormierAnthony Johnson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Daniel Cormier(10 fights)Anthony Johnson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -103.0|Blue +103.0

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +1.7|Blue -1.7

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +42.0|Blue -42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Daniel CormierTargetAnthony Johnson

By target zone

85% acc · 81%

Head

33% acc · 27%

100% acc · 11%

Body

80% acc · 36%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

100% acc · 36%

By position

20% acc · 3%

Distance

48% acc · 55%

95% acc · 58%

Clinch

91% acc · 45%

100% acc · 39%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Daniel Cormier rounds

even

Anthony Johnson rounds

Round 1Anthony Johnson edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control1:40

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:15Control

Round 2Daniel Cormier edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns1

Control2:32

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:23Control

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 41

Sig Strikes

22 / 36

86.5%

Sig Str %

59%

85 / 97

Total Strikes

22 / 36

1 / 2

TDs

1 / 3

50%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

4:12

Ctrl Time

2:38

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Anthony Johnson	16 / 25	16 / 25	0 / 2	0
1	Daniel Cormier	12 / 14	32 / 34	0 / 0	0
2	Anthony Johnson	6 / 11	6 / 11	1 / 1	0
2	Daniel Cormier	24 / 27	53 / 63	1 / 2	1

Daniel Cormier

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14

Anthony Johnson

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights11