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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Daniel Cormier won · U-DEC R3

Elo1388

Elo1391

Daniel CormiervsAnderson SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · Saturday, July 9, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Daniel Cormier won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDaniel Cormier: Well-roundedvsAnderson Silva: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Daniel Cormier wins(58.7%)

Actual result: Daniel Cormier wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Daniel Cormier at -430 American odds

+$23 profit

$123 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Anderson Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Anderson Silva (53.5%).
Anderson Silva has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Daniel Cormier

Red Corner

Anderson Silva

Blue Corner

-430

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+345

(22%)

1388

Elo

1391

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

6'2"

182.88 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Daniel CormierL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jan 18

KOvs Stipe Miocic · Jul 18

SUBvs Derrick Lewis · Nov 18

KOvs Stipe Miocic · Aug 19

vs Stipe Miocic · Aug 20

latest

Anderson SilvaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Michael Bisping · Feb 16

vs Derek Brunson · Feb 17

vs Israel Adesanya · Feb 19

KOvs Jared Cannonier · May 19

KOvs Uriah Hall · Oct 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Daniel CormierMetricAnderson Silva

4.25

Strikes / min

3.05

2.92

Strikes absorbed / min

2.05

54%

Strike defense

60%

1.83

TDs / 15 min

0.50

80%

Takedown defense

69%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.33evenly matched on net striking+1.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Daniel CormierAnderson Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Daniel Cormier(10 fights)Anderson Silva(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -3.0|Blue +3.0

Recent Form

Red +1.5|Blue -1.5

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +147.0|Blue -147.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Daniel CormierTargetAnderson Silva

By target zone

48% acc · 82%

Head

30% acc · 53%

50% acc · 6%

Body

57% acc · 24%

100% acc · 12%

Leg

67% acc · 24%

By position

39% acc · 45%

Distance

38% acc · 94%

Clinch

100% acc · 6%

69% acc · 55%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Daniel Cormier rounds

even

Anderson Silva rounds

Round 1Daniel Cormier edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control4:17

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Daniel Cormier edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns1

Control3:28

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Daniel Cormier edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control2:49

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

33 / 64

Sig Strikes

17 / 43

51.3%

Sig Str %

58.3%

153 / 208

Total Strikes

30 / 56

3 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

10:34

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Anderson Silva	1 / 1	8 / 8	0 / 0
1	Daniel Cormier	13 / 25	56 / 74	1 / 1
2	Anderson Silva	6 / 21	7 / 22	0 / 0
2	Daniel Cormier	9 / 18	51 / 69	1 / 1
3	Anderson Silva	10 / 21	15 / 26	0 / 0
3	Daniel Cormier	11 / 21	46 / 65	1 / 1

Daniel Cormier

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14

Anderson Silva

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights14