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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Danaa Batgerel won · KO/TKO
Elo1494
Elo1440

Danaa BatgerelvsKevin NatividadUFC Prediction Result

UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · Saturday, April 24, 2021Jacksonville, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Danaa Batgerel won

KO/TKO

Model Prediction: Danaa Batgerel wins(70.1%)

Actual result: Danaa Batgerel wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Danaa Batgerel at -230 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Danaa Batgerel is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Kevin Natividad has lost 67% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Danaa Batgerel
Red Corner
VS
Kevin Natividad
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
1494
Elo
1440
31
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Danaa Batgerel
oldest →
L
vs Heili Alateng · Aug 19
W
KOvs Guido Cannetti · Mar 20
latest
Kevin NatividadL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Miles Johns · Oct 20
L
vs Ricky Turcios · Nov 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Danaa BatgerelMetricKevin Natividad
—
Strikes / min
2.68
—
Strikes absorbed / min
4.29
—
Strike defense
47%
—
TDs / 15 min
3.66
—
Takedown defense
83%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1484Strikes5.8 vs 2.6Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.2 vs -1.0
Danaa BatgerelKevin Natividad

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Danaa Batgerel(3 fights)Kevin Natividad(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +53.3|Blue -53.3
Recent Form
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Striker Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +238.0|Blue -238.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Danaa Batgerel

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights2

Kevin Natividad

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights3