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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Dan Ige won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1485

Elo1517

Dan IgevsSean WoodsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · Saturday, April 12, 2025Miami, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Dan Ige won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 1:12

Style matchupDan Ige: Well-roundedvsSean Woodson: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Dan Ige wins(50.8%)

Actual result: Dan Ige wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dan Ige at +162 American odds

+$162 profit

$262 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dan Ige enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Sean Woodson enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Sean Woodson has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Sean Woodson has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dan Ige

Red Corner

Sean Woodson

Blue Corner

+162

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-194

(66%)

1485

Elo

1517

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

6'2"

180.34 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dan IgeL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Andre Fili · Feb 24

vs Diego Lopes · Jun 24

vs Lerone Murphy · Oct 24

vs Patricio Freire · Jul 25

KOvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 26

latest

Sean WoodsonW5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Collin Anglin · Nov 21

vs Dennis Buzukja · Aug 23

vs Charles Jourdain · Jan 24

vs Alex Caceres · May 24

KOvs Fernando Padilla · Dec 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dan IgeMetricSean Woodson

3.60

Strikes / min

5.57

3.56

Strikes absorbed / min

4.18

56%

Strike defense

58%

0.93

TDs / 15 min

0.58

56%

Takedown defense

84%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.04Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap+1.39

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dan IgeSean Woodson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dan Ige(10 fights)Sean Woodson(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -31.7|Blue +31.7

Recent Form

Red -1.4|Blue +1.4

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dan IgeTargetSean Woodson

By target zone

36% acc · 64%

Head

37% acc · 71%

55% acc · 25%

Body

78% acc · 14%

56% acc · 11%

Leg

100% acc · 16%

By position

39% acc · 93%

Distance

44% acc · 100%

100% acc · 7%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dan Ige rounds

even

Sean Woodson rounds

Round 1Sean Woodson edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:01

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Sean Woodson edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:32

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

Round 3Dan Ige edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

44 / 107

Sig Strikes

51 / 115

42.7%

Sig Str %

44%

53 / 116

Total Strikes

57 / 121

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:33

Ctrl Time

0:10

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Sean Woodson	26 / 51	26 / 51	0 / 0
1	Dan Ige	9 / 37	9 / 37	0 / 0
2	Sean Woodson	18 / 49	24 / 55	0 / 0
2	Dan Ige	15 / 41	17 / 43	0 / 2
3	Sean Woodson	7 / 15	7 / 15	0 / 1
3	Dan Ige	20 / 29	27 / 36	0 / 0

Dan Ige

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights21

Sean Woodson

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights9