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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Patricio Freire won · U-DEC R3
Elo1485
Dan Ige
Elo1504
Patricio Freire

Dan IgevsPatricio FreireUFC Prediction Result

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · Saturday, July 19, 2025New Orleans, Louisiana, USA

Official fight result

Patricio Freire won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Patricio Freire wins(56.3%)

Actual result: Patricio Freire wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Dan Ige has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dan Ige
Red Corner
VS
Patricio Freire
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1485
Elo
1504
34
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
180.34 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dan Ige
oldest →
W
KOvs Andre Fili · Feb 24
L
vs Diego Lopes · Jun 24
L
vs Lerone Murphy · Oct 24
W
KOvs Sean Woodson · Apr 25
L
KOvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 26
latest
Patricio Freire
oldest →
L
vs Yair Rodriguez · Apr 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dan IgeMetricPatricio Freire
3.60
Strikes / min
—
3.56
Strikes absorbed / min
—
56%
Strike defense
—
0.93
TDs / 15 min
—
56%
Takedown defense
—
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1552 vs 1488Strikes3.6 vs 2.7Takedowns0.9 vs 1.5Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.60Form0.1 vs -0.9
Dan IgePatricio Freire

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Dan Ige(10 fights)Patricio Freire(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -18.4|Blue +18.4
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Dan Ige

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights21

Patricio Freire

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights2