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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Movsar Evloev won · U-DEC R3

Elo1485

Elo1536

Dan IgevsMovsar EvloevUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · Saturday, June 4, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Movsar Evloev won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDan Ige: Well-roundedvsMovsar Evloev: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Movsar Evloev wins(87.4%)

Actual result: Movsar Evloev wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Movsar Evloev at -410 American odds

+$24 profit

$124 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Movsar Evloev enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Dan Ige

Red Corner

Movsar Evloev

Blue Corner

+310

(24%)

Vegas Odds

-410

(80%)

1485

Elo

1536

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

180.34 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dan IgeL2 streak

oldest →

vs Diego Lopes · Jun 24

vs Lerone Murphy · Oct 24

KOvs Sean Woodson · Apr 25

vs Patricio Freire · Jul 25

KOvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 26

latest

Movsar EvloevW5 streak

oldest →

vs Hakeem Dawodu · Jun 21

vs Diego Lopes · May 23

vs Arnold Allen · Jan 24

vs Aljamain Sterling · Dec 24

vs Lerone Murphy · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dan IgeMetricMovsar Evloev

3.60

Strikes / min

3.91

3.56

Strikes absorbed / min

2.80

56%

Strike defense

61%

0.93

TDs / 15 min

4.78

56%

Takedown defense

61%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.04Δ 1.07 — meaningful gap+1.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dan IgeMovsar Evloev

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dan Ige(10 fights)Movsar Evloev(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -51.0|Blue +51.0

Recent Form

Red -1.4|Blue +1.4

Striker Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -182.0|Blue +182.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dan IgeTargetMovsar Evloev

By target zone

29% acc · 60%

Head

46% acc · 74%

78% acc · 33%

Body

86% acc · 18%

100% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 9%

By position

37% acc · 90%

Distance

46% acc · 75%

100% acc · 2%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

100% acc · 7%

Ground

88% acc · 22%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dan Ige rounds

even

Movsar Evloev rounds

Round 1Movsar Evloev edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

1:06Control

Round 2Movsar Evloev edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

30Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:19Control

Round 3Movsar Evloev edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:10

15Sig. strikes

5Takedowns

4:22Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

42 / 106

Sig Strikes

68 / 129

42%

Sig Str %

59.7%

47 / 114

Total Strikes

144 / 213

0 / 0

TDs

9 / 16

—

TD %

54%

Sub Att

Rev

0:10

Ctrl Time

6:47

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Movsar Evloev	23 / 45	28 / 50	3 / 6
1	Dan Ige	17 / 44	19 / 46	0 / 0
2	Movsar Evloev	30 / 66	54 / 93	1 / 2
2	Dan Ige	20 / 52	20 / 52	0 / 0
3	Movsar Evloev	15 / 18	62 / 70	5 / 8
3	Dan Ige	5 / 10	8 / 16	0 / 0

Dan Ige

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights21

Movsar Evloev

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights10