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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Dan Ige won · U-DEC R3

Elo1485

Elo1399

Dan IgevsJordan GriffinUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · Saturday, December 15, 2018Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA

Official fight result

Dan Ige won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDan Ige: Well-roundedvsJordan Griffin: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Dan Ige wins(56.3%)

Actual result: Dan Ige wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dan Ige at -165 American odds

+$61 profit

$161 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Jordan Griffin (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Dan Ige

Red Corner

Jordan Griffin

Blue Corner

-165

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+145

(41%)

1485

Elo

1399

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'10"

180.34 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dan IgeL2 streak

oldest →

vs Diego Lopes · Jun 24

vs Lerone Murphy · Oct 24

KOvs Sean Woodson · Apr 25

vs Patricio Freire · Jul 25

KOvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 26

latest

Jordan GriffinL2 streak

oldest →

vs Chas Skelly · Sep 19

SUBvs TJ Brown · Feb 20

vs Youssef Zalal · Jun 20

vs Luis Saldana · Apr 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dan IgeMetricJordan Griffin

3.60

Strikes / min

2.52

3.56

Strikes absorbed / min

3.02

56%

Strike defense

50%

0.93

TDs / 15 min

1.45

56%

Takedown defense

42%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.04evenly matched on net striking-0.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dan IgeJordan Griffin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dan Ige(10 fights)Jordan Griffin(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +86.7|Blue -86.7

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -48.8|Blue +48.8

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dan IgeTargetJordan Griffin

By target zone

48% acc · 82%

Head

49% acc · 88%

88% acc · 13%

Body

100% acc · 13%

75% acc · 5%

Leg

By position

38% acc · 36%

Distance

48% acc · 55%

100% acc · 7%

Clinch

100% acc · 7%

64% acc · 57%

Ground

55% acc · 38%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dan Ige rounds

even

Jordan Griffin rounds

Round 1Dan Ige edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns1

Control3:24

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 2Jordan Griffin edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control0:41

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:21Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control2:50

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:34Control

Fight Stats

Totals

56 / 107

Sig Strikes

56 / 107

51%

Sig Str %

51.3%

86 / 144

Total Strikes

71 / 123

3 / 7

TDs

0 / 2

58.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

6:55

Ctrl Time

3:59

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jordan Griffin	11 / 23	14 / 26	0 / 1	1
1	Dan Ige	28 / 48	35 / 58	1 / 2	0
2	Jordan Griffin	24 / 42	34 / 52	0 / 0	0
2	Dan Ige	14 / 26	25 / 37	1 / 1	0
3	Jordan Griffin	21 / 42	23 / 45	0 / 1	0
3	Dan Ige	14 / 33	26 / 49	1 / 4	0

Dan Ige

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights21

Jordan Griffin

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights5