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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Dan Ige won · KO/TKO

Elo1485

Elo1472

Dan IgevsGavin TuckerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · Saturday, March 13, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Dan Ige won

KO/TKO

Style matchupDan Ige: Well-roundedvsGavin Tucker: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Gavin Tucker wins(52.5%)

Actual result: Dan Ige wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gavin Tucker at +165 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Gavin Tucker (53.5%).
Dan Ige has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dan Ige

Red Corner

Gavin Tucker

Blue Corner

-190

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+165

(38%)

1485

Elo

1472

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'6"

180.34 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dan IgeL2 streak

oldest →

vs Diego Lopes · Jun 24

vs Lerone Murphy · Oct 24

KOvs Sean Woodson · Apr 25

vs Patricio Freire · Jul 25

KOvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 26

latest

Gavin Tucker

oldest →

vs Rick Glenn · Sep 17

SUBvs Seungwoo Choi · Jul 19

SUBvs Justin Jaynes · Aug 20

vs Billy Quarantillo · Dec 20

SUBvs Diego Lopes · Aug 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dan IgeMetricGavin Tucker

3.60

Strikes / min

4.29

3.56

Strikes absorbed / min

4.18

56%

Strike defense

57%

0.93

TDs / 15 min

3.13

56%

Takedown defense

53%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.04evenly matched on net striking+0.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dan IgeGavin Tucker

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dan Ige(10 fights)Gavin Tucker(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +13.0|Blue -13.0

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +150.0|Blue -150.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dan IgeTargetGavin Tucker

By target zone

25% acc · 100%

Head

Body

Leg

100% acc · 100%

By position

25% acc · 100%

Distance

100% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dan Ige rounds

even

Gavin Tucker rounds

Round 1Dan Ige edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:01

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1 / 4

Sig Strikes

1 / 1

25%

Sig Str %

100%

1 / 4

Total Strikes

1 / 1

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:01

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Gavin Tucker	1 / 1	1 / 1	0 / 0	0
1	Dan Ige	1 / 4	1 / 4	0 / 0	0

Dan Ige

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights21

Gavin Tucker

StanceSouthpaw

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights7