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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Dan Ige won · S-DEC R3

Elo1485

Elo1480

Dan IgevsEdson BarbozaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · Saturday, May 16, 2020Jacksonville, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Dan Ige won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDan Ige: Well-roundedvsEdson Barboza: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Dan Ige wins(88.4%)

Actual result: Dan Ige wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dan Ige at +112 American odds

+$112 profit

$212 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Edson Barboza has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Edson Barboza has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dan Ige

Red Corner

Edson Barboza

Blue Corner

+112

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-132

(57%)

1485

Elo

1480

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'11"

180.34 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dan IgeL2 streak

oldest →

vs Diego Lopes · Jun 24

vs Lerone Murphy · Oct 24

KOvs Sean Woodson · Apr 25

vs Patricio Freire · Jul 25

KOvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 26

latest

Edson BarbozaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Apr 23

vs Sodiq Yusuff · Oct 23

vs Lerone Murphy · May 24

vs Drakkar Klose · Aug 25

KOvs Jalin Turner · Dec 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dan IgeMetricEdson Barboza

3.60

Strikes / min

4.14

3.56

Strikes absorbed / min

4.68

56%

Strike defense

55%

0.93

TDs / 15 min

0.43

56%

Takedown defense

73%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.04evenly matched on net striking-0.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dan IgeEdson Barboza

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dan Ige(10 fights)Edson Barboza(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +5.5|Blue -5.5

Recent Form

Red +1.6|Blue -1.6

Striker Score

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -154.0|Blue +154.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dan IgeTargetEdson Barboza

By target zone

41% acc · 68%

Head

47% acc · 50%

71% acc · 22%

Body

64% acc · 31%

100% acc · 10%

Leg

79% acc · 19%

By position

45% acc · 85%

Distance

50% acc · 68%

63% acc · 6%

Clinch

89% acc · 10%

100% acc · 9%

Ground

64% acc · 23%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dan Ige rounds

even

Edson Barboza rounds

Round 1Edson Barboza edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:08

Knockdowns0

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:58Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:36

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:49Control

Round 3Dan Ige edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns1

Control1:22

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

Fight Stats

Totals

79 / 164

Sig Strikes

80 / 144

48%

Sig Str %

54.3%

100 / 189

Total Strikes

87 / 152

1 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

25%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:06

Ctrl Time

1:55

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Edson Barboza	31 / 53	32 / 55	0 / 0
1	Dan Ige	23 / 54	30 / 63	0 / 0
2	Edson Barboza	30 / 52	32 / 54	0 / 0
2	Dan Ige	31 / 63	37 / 71	0 / 2
3	Edson Barboza	19 / 39	23 / 43	0 / 0
3	Dan Ige	25 / 47	33 / 55	1 / 2

Dan Ige

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights21

Edson Barboza

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights32