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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Dan Ige won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1485

Elo1495

Dan IgevsDamon JacksonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · Saturday, January 14, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Dan Ige won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:13

Style matchupDan Ige: Well-roundedvsDamon Jackson: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Damon Jackson wins(50.1%)

Actual result: Dan Ige wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Damon Jackson at +115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dan Ige has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Damon Jackson (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Dan Ige

Red Corner

Damon Jackson

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+115

(47%)

1485

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'7"

Height

5'11"

180.34 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dan IgeL2 streak

oldest →

vs Diego Lopes · Jun 24

vs Lerone Murphy · Oct 24

KOvs Sean Woodson · Apr 25

vs Patricio Freire · Jul 25

KOvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 26

latest

Damon JacksonL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Pat Sabatini · Sep 22

vs Billy Quarantillo · Aug 23

vs Alexander Hernandez · Apr 24

vs Chepe Mariscal · Aug 24

SUBvs Jim Miller · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dan IgeMetricDamon Jackson

3.60

Strikes / min

2.96

3.56

Strikes absorbed / min

3.47

56%

Strike defense

49%

0.93

TDs / 15 min

2.30

56%

Takedown defense

37%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.04evenly matched on net striking-0.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dan IgeDamon Jackson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dan Ige(10 fights)Damon Jackson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -10.2|Blue +10.2

Recent Form

Red -1.6|Blue +1.6

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +105.0|Blue -105.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dan IgeTargetDamon Jackson

By target zone

31% acc · 50%

Head

27% acc · 61%

87% acc · 38%

Body

67% acc · 28%

80% acc · 12%

Leg

100% acc · 11%

By position

43% acc · 82%

Distance

35% acc · 89%

67% acc · 18%

Clinch

50% acc · 11%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dan Ige rounds

even

Damon Jackson rounds

Round 1Dan Ige edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns1

Control0:07

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:11

Knockdowns1

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

34 / 74

Sig Strikes

36 / 100

45%

Sig Str %

34.5%

40 / 81

Total Strikes

38 / 102

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 1

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:18

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Damon Jackson	13 / 45	13 / 45	0 / 1
1	Dan Ige	21 / 45	26 / 51	1 / 1
2	Damon Jackson	23 / 55	25 / 57	0 / 0
2	Dan Ige	13 / 29	14 / 30	0 / 0

Dan Ige

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights21

Damon Jackson

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights12