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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Dan Ige won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1485

Elo1479

Dan IgevsAndre FiliUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · Saturday, February 10, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Dan Ige won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:43

Style matchupDan Ige: Well-roundedvsAndre Fili: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Dan Ige wins(54.1%)

Actual result: Dan Ige wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dan Ige at -185 American odds

+$54 profit

$154 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andre Fili has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Dan Ige

Red Corner

Andre Fili

Blue Corner

-185

(65%)

Vegas Odds

+154

(39%)

1485

Elo

1479

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'11"

180.34 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dan IgeL2 streak

oldest →

vs Diego Lopes · Jun 24

vs Lerone Murphy · Oct 24

KOvs Sean Woodson · Apr 25

vs Patricio Freire · Jul 25

KOvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 26

latest

Andre FiliL2 streak

oldest →

vs Cub Swanson · Jun 24

SUBvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 25

vs Christian Rodriguez · Aug 25

vs Jose Delgado · Mar 26

KOvs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dan IgeMetricAndre Fili

3.60

Strikes / min

3.88

3.56

Strikes absorbed / min

4.34

56%

Strike defense

50%

0.93

TDs / 15 min

2.32

56%

Takedown defense

71%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.04evenly matched on net striking-0.46

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dan IgeAndre Fili

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dan Ige(10 fights)Andre Fili(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +6.0|Blue -6.0

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +84.0|Blue -84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dan IgeTargetAndre Fili

By target zone

36% acc · 36%

Head

25% acc · 88%

67% acc · 18%

Body

20% acc · 13%

100% acc · 45%

Leg

By position

56% acc · 91%

Distance

24% acc · 100%

Clinch

100% acc · 9%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dan Ige rounds

even

Andre Fili rounds

Round 1Dan Ige edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:01

Knockdowns1

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 19

Sig Strikes

8 / 33

57%

Sig Str %

24%

11 / 19

Total Strikes

8 / 33

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:01

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Andre Fili	8 / 33	8 / 33	0 / 0	0
1	Dan Ige	11 / 19	11 / 19	0 / 0	0

Dan Ige

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights21

Andre Fili

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights26