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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Dan Hooker won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1484

Elo1372

Dan HookervsRoss PearsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · Saturday, June 10, 2017Auckland, New Zealand

Official fight result

Dan Hooker won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:02

Style matchupDan Hooker: Pressure fightervsRoss Pearson: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Dan Hooker wins(50.1%)

Actual result: Dan Hooker wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dan Hooker at -145 American odds

+$69 profit

$169 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ross Pearson has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Dan Hooker (52.9%).
Dan Hooker has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dan Hooker

Red Corner

Ross Pearson

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1484

Elo

1372

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'8"

190.5 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dan HookerL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Claudio Puelles · Nov 22

vs Jalin Turner · Jul 23

vs Mateusz Gamrot · Aug 24

SUBvs Arman Tsarukyan · Nov 25

KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Jan 26

latest

Ross PearsonL2 streak

oldest →

vs Jorge Masvidal · Jul 16

vs Stevie Ray · Nov 16

vs Mizuto Hirota · Feb 18

vs John Makdessi · Jul 18

KOvs Desmond Green · Mar 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dan HookerMetricRoss Pearson

4.82

Strikes / min

3.68

4.94

Strikes absorbed / min

4.09

49%

Strike defense

62%

0.68

TDs / 15 min

0.74

77%

Takedown defense

75%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Dan HookerRoss Pearson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dan Hooker(10 fights)Ross Pearson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +112.3|Blue -112.3

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dan HookerTargetRoss Pearson

By target zone

37% acc · 58%

Head

25% acc · 39%

75% acc · 9%

Body

72% acc · 34%

92% acc · 33%

Leg

91% acc · 26%

By position

49% acc · 99%

Distance

42% acc · 95%

Clinch

100% acc · 5%

100% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dan Hooker rounds

even

Ross Pearson rounds

Round 1Dan Hooker edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Dan Hooker edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control0:01

Knockdowns1

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

69 / 141

Sig Strikes

38 / 88

48.5%

Sig Str %

42.5%

74 / 146

Total Strikes

38 / 88

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:01

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ross Pearson	20 / 47	20 / 47	0 / 0
1	Dan Hooker	32 / 65	37 / 70	0 / 1
2	Ross Pearson	18 / 41	18 / 41	0 / 0
2	Dan Hooker	37 / 76	37 / 76	0 / 0

Dan Hooker

StanceSwitch

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights24

Ross Pearson

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights23