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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Dan Hooker won · SUB R1
Elo1484
Dan Hooker
Elo1357
Mark Eddiva

Dan HookervsMark EddivaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · Saturday, March 19, 2016Brisbane, Queensland, Australia

Official fight result

Dan Hooker won

SUB · Round 1 · 1:24

Style matchupDan Hooker: Pressure fightervsMark Eddiva: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Mark Eddiva wins(62.4%)

Actual result: Dan Hooker wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mark Eddiva at +150 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Dan Hooker (52.9%).
  • Dan Hooker has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dan Hooker
Red Corner
VS
Mark Eddiva
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
1484
Elo
1357
36
Age
40
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'8"
190.5 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dan HookerL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Claudio Puelles · Nov 22
W
vs Jalin Turner · Jul 23
W
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Aug 24
L
SUBvs Arman Tsarukyan · Nov 25
L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Jan 26
latest
Mark EddivaL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Jumabieke Tuerxun · Mar 14
L
KOvs Kevin Souza · May 14
L
vs Levan Makashvili · May 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dan HookerMetricMark Eddiva
4.82
Strikes / min
3.37
4.94
Strikes absorbed / min
2.98
49%
Strike defense
54%
0.68
TDs / 15 min
1.45
77%
Takedown defense
63%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.12evenly matched on net striking+0.39

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1499 vs 1484Strikes37.8 vs 45.0Takedowns0.3 vs 1.3Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-0.2 vs -0.6
Dan HookerMark Eddiva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Dan Hooker(10 fights)Mark Eddiva(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +127.5|Blue -127.5
Recent Form
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red -140.0|Blue +140.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dan HookerTargetMark Eddiva

By target zone

2
40% acc · 40%
Head
1
25% acc · 25%
2
100% acc · 40%
Body
2
67% acc · 50%
1
50% acc · 20%
Leg
1
100% acc · 25%

By position

4
50% acc · 80%
Distance
4
50% acc · 100%
1
100% acc · 20%
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Dan Hooker rounds
1
even
0
Mark Eddiva rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:13
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:17Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
5 / 9
Sig Strikes
4 / 8
55%
Sig Str %
50%
6 / 10
Total Strikes
7 / 12
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 2
—
TD %
0%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:13
Ctrl Time
0:17

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Mark Eddiva4 / 87 / 120 / 20
1Dan Hooker5 / 96 / 100 / 01

Dan Hooker

StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights24

Mark Eddiva

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4