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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Dan Hooker won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1484
Dan Hooker
Elo1490
Ian Entwistle

Dan HookervsIan EntwistleUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · Saturday, June 28, 2014Auckland, New Zealand

Official fight result

Dan Hooker won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:34

Model Prediction: Dan Hooker wins(52.6%)

Actual result: Dan Hooker wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dan Hooker at -120 American odds

+$83 profit

$183 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Dan Hooker is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Ian Entwistle has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Dan Hooker has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Dan Hooker has 77pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Dan Hooker (52.9%).
  • Dan Hooker has a 28cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Dan Hooker
Red Corner
VS
Ian Entwistle
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
1484
Elo
1490
36
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'5"
190.5 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dan HookerL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Claudio Puelles · Nov 22
W
vs Jalin Turner · Jul 23
W
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Aug 24
L
SUBvs Arman Tsarukyan · Nov 25
L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Jan 26
latest
Ian Entwistle
oldest →
W
SUBvs Anthony Birchak · Dec 14
L
KOvs Alejandro Perez · Apr 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dan HookerMetricIan Entwistle
4.82
Strikes / min
0.11
4.94
Strikes absorbed / min
7.36
49%
Strike defense
31%
0.68
TDs / 15 min
0.00
77%
Takedown defense
0%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
12.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.12Δ 7.13 — meaningful gap-7.25
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Dan Hooker(10 fights)Ian Entwistle(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -6.4|Blue +6.4
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dan HookerTargetIan Entwistle

By target zone

11
65% acc · 92%
Head
0
0% acc
1
100% acc · 8%
Body
1
100% acc · 100%
0
Leg
0

By position

3
60% acc · 25%
Distance
0
0% acc
1
100% acc · 8%
Clinch
1
100% acc · 100%
8
67% acc · 67%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Dan Hooker rounds
0
even
0
Ian Entwistle rounds
Round 1Dan Hooker edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control1:54
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:21Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
12 / 18
Sig Strikes
1 / 9
66%
Sig Str %
11%
51 / 67
Total Strikes
1 / 9
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 2
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
3
0
Rev
0
1:54
Ctrl Time
0:21

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Ian Entwistle1 / 91 / 90 / 23
1Dan Hooker12 / 1851 / 670 / 00

Dan Hooker

StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights24

Ian Entwistle

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach
Fights3