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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Damon Jackson won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1495

Elo1546

Damon JacksonvsPat SabatiniUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · Saturday, September 17, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Damon Jackson won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:09

Style matchupDamon Jackson: WrestlervsPat Sabatini: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Pat Sabatini wins(62.4%)

Actual result: Damon Jackson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Pat Sabatini at -215 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Pat Sabatini enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Damon Jackson (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Damon Jackson

Red Corner

Pat Sabatini

Blue Corner

+185

(35%)

Vegas Odds

-215

(68%)

1495

Elo

1546

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'8"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Damon JacksonL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Dan Ige · Jan 23

vs Billy Quarantillo · Aug 23

vs Alexander Hernandez · Apr 24

vs Chepe Mariscal · Aug 24

SUBvs Jim Miller · Nov 24

latest

Pat SabatiniW4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Diego Lopes · Nov 23

SUBvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 24

vs Joanderson Brito · Apr 25

vs Chepe Mariscal · Nov 25

DECvs William Gomis · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Damon JacksonMetricPat Sabatini

2.96

Strikes / min

1.69

3.47

Strikes absorbed / min

1.16

49%

Strike defense

54%

2.30

TDs / 15 min

4.27

37%

Takedown defense

50%

1.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.51Δ 1.04 — meaningful gap+0.53

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Damon JacksonPat Sabatini

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Damon Jackson(10 fights)Pat Sabatini(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -50.7|Blue +50.7

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -49.0|Blue +49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Damon JacksonTargetPat Sabatini

By target zone

55% acc · 100%

Head

33% acc · 100%

Body

Leg

By position

75% acc · 27%

Distance

33% acc · 100%

100% acc · 9%

Clinch

47% acc · 64%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Damon Jackson rounds

even

Pat Sabatini rounds

Round 1Damon Jackson edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control0:32

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 20

Sig Strikes

1 / 3

55%

Sig Str %

33%

16 / 27

Total Strikes

1 / 3

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 1

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:32

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Pat Sabatini	1 / 3	1 / 3	0 / 1	0
1	Damon Jackson	11 / 20	16 / 27	1 / 1	0

Damon Jackson

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights12

Pat Sabatini

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights11