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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Damon Jackson won · U-DEC R3

Elo1495

Elo1488

Damon JacksonvsDan ArguetaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · Saturday, June 4, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Damon Jackson won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDamon Jackson: WrestlervsDan Argueta: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Dan Argueta wins(50.4%)

Actual result: Damon Jackson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dan Argueta at +525 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dan Argueta has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Damon Jackson (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Damon Jackson

Red Corner

Dan Argueta

Blue Corner

-760

(88%)

Vegas Odds

+525

(16%)

1495

Elo

1488

Age

Switch

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

5'7"

180.34 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Damon JacksonL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Dan Ige · Jan 23

vs Billy Quarantillo · Aug 23

vs Alexander Hernandez · Apr 24

vs Chepe Mariscal · Aug 24

SUBvs Jim Miller · Nov 24

latest

Dan ArguetaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Nick Aguirre · Jan 23

SUBvs Jean Matsumoto · Apr 24

vs Cody Haddon · Oct 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Damon JacksonMetricDan Argueta

2.96

Strikes / min

2.48

3.47

Strikes absorbed / min

3.44

49%

Strike defense

50%

2.30

TDs / 15 min

4.36

37%

Takedown defense

55%

1.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.51evenly matched on net striking-0.96

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Damon JacksonDan Argueta

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Damon Jackson(10 fights)Dan Argueta(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +7.7|Blue -7.7

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Grappler Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Damon JacksonTargetDan Argueta

By target zone

52% acc · 72%

Head

43% acc · 89%

100% acc · 19%

Body

100% acc · 11%

100% acc · 9%

Leg

By position

48% acc · 59%

Distance

38% acc · 59%

100% acc · 16%

Clinch

67% acc · 37%

100% acc · 25%

Ground

50% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Damon Jackson rounds

even

Dan Argueta rounds

Round 1Damon Jackson edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns1

Control4:14

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:42Control

Round 2Damon Jackson edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns1

Control3:58

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:46Control

Round 3Damon Jackson edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control2:13

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:16Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

32 / 53

Sig Strikes

27 / 59

71.5%

Sig Str %

45%

47 / 71

Total Strikes

103 / 141

2 / 4

TDs

1 / 3

50%

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

10:25

Ctrl Time

2:44

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Dan Argueta	0 / 0	33 / 35	0 / 0	0
1	Damon Jackson	0 / 0	1 / 1	1 / 2	1
2	Dan Argueta	5 / 11	27 / 37	1 / 3	0
2	Damon Jackson	9 / 10	14 / 17	1 / 1	0
3	Dan Argueta	22 / 48	43 / 69	0 / 0	0
3	Damon Jackson	23 / 43	32 / 53	0 / 1	0

Damon Jackson

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights12

Dan Argueta

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights4