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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Da'Mon Blackshear won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1510

Elo1492

Da'Mon BlackshearvsLuan LacerdaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · Saturday, June 3, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Da'Mon Blackshear won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:54

Style matchupDa'Mon Blackshear: Submission grapplervsLuan Lacerda: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Da'Mon Blackshear wins(51.3%)

Actual result: Da'Mon Blackshear wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Da'Mon Blackshear at +132 American odds

+$132 profit

$232 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Da'Mon Blackshear (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Da'Mon Blackshear

Red Corner

Luan Lacerda

Blue Corner

+132

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-156

(61%)

1510

Elo

1492

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'7"

182.88 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Da'Mon Blackshear

oldest →

KOvs Montel Jackson · Jul 24

SUBvs Cody Stamann · Nov 24

SUBvs Cody Gibson · Mar 25

vs Alatengheili · Apr 25

vs Davey Grant · Jul 25

latest

Luan Lacerda

oldest →

vs Cody Stamann · Jan 23

SUBvs Saimon Oliveira · Oct 25

vs Hecher Sosa · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Da'Mon BlackshearMetricLuan Lacerda

4.33

Strikes / min

4.06

4.19

Strikes absorbed / min

6.15

52%

Strike defense

49%

1.48

TDs / 15 min

2.82

71%

Takedown defense

66%

1.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.14Δ 2.23 — meaningful gap-2.09

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Da'Mon BlackshearLuan Lacerda

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Da'Mon Blackshear(9 fights)Luan Lacerda(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +18.8|Blue -18.8

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -42.0|Blue +42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Da'Mon BlackshearTargetLuan Lacerda

By target zone

41% acc · 64%

Head

38% acc · 57%

65% acc · 17%

Body

47% acc · 32%

87% acc · 20%

Leg

100% acc · 11%

By position

40% acc · 58%

Distance

41% acc · 89%

62% acc · 12%

Clinch

100% acc · 11%

77% acc · 30%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Da'Mon Blackshear rounds

even

Luan Lacerda rounds

Round 1Da'Mon Blackshear edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns1

Control1:29

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:20Control

Round 2Da'Mon Blackshear edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control0:45

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

66 / 135

Sig Strikes

28 / 64

49%

Sig Str %

43%

85 / 158

Total Strikes

31 / 67

1 / 2

TDs

1 / 4

50%

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

2:14

Ctrl Time

0:26

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Luan Lacerda	17 / 34	20 / 37	1 / 2	1
1	Da'Mon Blackshear	30 / 60	44 / 76	1 / 2	0
2	Luan Lacerda	11 / 30	11 / 30	0 / 2	0
2	Da'Mon Blackshear	36 / 75	41 / 82	0 / 0	0

Da'Mon Blackshear

StanceSwitch

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights9

Luan Lacerda

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights4