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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Farid Basharat won · U-DEC R3

Elo1510

Elo1576

Da'Mon BlackshearvsFarid BasharatUFC Prediction Result

UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · Saturday, March 4, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Farid Basharat won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDa'Mon Blackshear: Submission grapplervsFarid Basharat: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Farid Basharat wins(59.0%)

Actual result: Farid Basharat wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Farid Basharat at -410 American odds

+$24 profit

$124 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Farid Basharat enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Farid Basharat has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Da'Mon Blackshear has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Da'Mon Blackshear (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Da'Mon Blackshear

Red Corner

Farid Basharat

Blue Corner

+330

(23%)

Vegas Odds

-410

(80%)

1510

Elo

1576

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'8"

182.88 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Da'Mon Blackshear

oldest →

KOvs Montel Jackson · Jul 24

SUBvs Cody Stamann · Nov 24

SUBvs Cody Gibson · Mar 25

vs Alatengheili · Apr 25

vs Davey Grant · Jul 25

latest

Farid BasharatW5 streak

oldest →

vs Taylor Lapilus · Jan 24

vs Victor Hugo · Oct 24

vs Chris Gutierrez · Oct 25

vs Jean Matsumoto · Feb 26

DECvs John Garza · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Da'Mon BlackshearMetricFarid Basharat

4.33

Strikes / min

4.25

4.19

Strikes absorbed / min

2.89

52%

Strike defense

62%

1.48

TDs / 15 min

3.34

71%

Takedown defense

54%

1.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.14Δ 1.22 — meaningful gap+1.36

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Da'Mon BlackshearFarid Basharat

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Da'Mon Blackshear(9 fights)Farid Basharat(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -65.8|Blue +65.8

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Da'Mon BlackshearTargetFarid Basharat

By target zone

29% acc · 50%

Head

51% acc · 62%

75% acc · 26%

Body

82% acc · 24%

50% acc · 24%

Leg

89% acc · 14%

By position

34% acc · 78%

Distance

53% acc · 72%

88% acc · 15%

Clinch

80% acc · 7%

100% acc · 7%

Ground

100% acc · 21%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Da'Mon Blackshear rounds

even

Farid Basharat rounds

Round 1Farid Basharat edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:11

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:41Control

Round 2Farid Basharat edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control1:30

21Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:36Control

Round 3Farid Basharat edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:57

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:11Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 117

Sig Strikes

58 / 96

38%

Sig Str %

60.3%

91 / 164

Total Strikes

76 / 115

1 / 6

TDs

3 / 6

16.7%

TD %

61%

Sub Att

Rev

2:38

Ctrl Time

5:28

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Farid Basharat	17 / 31	20 / 34	1 / 2	0
1	Da'Mon Blackshear	9 / 36	17 / 44	0 / 2	0
2	Farid Basharat	21 / 30	24 / 33	1 / 1	0
2	Da'Mon Blackshear	15 / 36	30 / 51	1 / 2	0
3	Farid Basharat	20 / 35	32 / 48	1 / 3	0
3	Da'Mon Blackshear	22 / 45	44 / 69	0 / 2	1

Da'Mon Blackshear

StanceSwitch

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights9

Farid Basharat

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9