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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Da'Mon Blackshear won · SUB R2

Elo1510

Elo1458

Da'Mon BlackshearvsCody GibsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · Saturday, March 15, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Da'Mon Blackshear won

SUB · Round 2 · 4:09

Style matchupDa'Mon Blackshear: Submission grapplervsCody Gibson: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Da'Mon Blackshear wins(71.6%)

Actual result: Da'Mon Blackshear wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Da'Mon Blackshear at -450 American odds

+$22 profit

$122 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Da'Mon Blackshear threatens submissions; Cody Gibson has lost 38% of fights by sub.
Stance matchup historically favors Da'Mon Blackshear (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Da'Mon Blackshear

Red Corner

Cody Gibson

Blue Corner

-450

(82%)

Vegas Odds

+350

(22%)

1510

Elo

1458

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'10"

182.88 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Da'Mon Blackshear

oldest →

vs Mario Bautista · Aug 23

KOvs Montel Jackson · Jul 24

SUBvs Cody Stamann · Nov 24

vs Alatengheili · Apr 25

vs Davey Grant · Jul 25

latest

Cody GibsonL2 streak

oldest →

vs Miles Johns · Mar 24

SUBvs Brian Kelleher · Jul 24

vs Chad Anheliger · Nov 24

KOvs Aoriqileng · Oct 25

SUBvs Abdul Hussein · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Da'Mon BlackshearMetricCody Gibson

4.33

Strikes / min

3.63

4.19

Strikes absorbed / min

3.22

52%

Strike defense

57%

1.48

TDs / 15 min

2.12

71%

Takedown defense

69%

1.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.14evenly matched on net striking+0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Da'Mon BlackshearCody Gibson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Da'Mon Blackshear(9 fights)Cody Gibson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +52.6|Blue -52.6

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Da'Mon BlackshearTargetCody Gibson

By target zone

31% acc · 85%

Head

49% acc · 51%

50% acc · 15%

Body

86% acc · 27%

Leg

100% acc · 22%

By position

30% acc · 85%

Distance

58% acc · 69%

100% acc · 15%

Clinch

78% acc · 31%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Da'Mon Blackshear rounds

even

Cody Gibson rounds

Round 1Cody Gibson edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control1:11

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:13Control

Round 2Cody Gibson edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control2:21

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:29Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

13 / 39

Sig Strikes

45 / 71

33.5%

Sig Str %

61%

46 / 74

Total Strikes

53 / 82

0 / 1

TDs

1 / 5

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

3:32

Ctrl Time

2:42

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cody Gibson	30 / 43	37 / 52	0 / 4	0
1	Da'Mon Blackshear	6 / 16	9 / 21	0 / 0	2
2	Cody Gibson	15 / 28	16 / 30	1 / 1	0
2	Da'Mon Blackshear	7 / 23	37 / 53	0 / 1	1

Da'Mon Blackshear

StanceSwitch

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights9

Cody Gibson

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights11