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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Da'Mon Blackshear won · U-DEC R3
Elo1510
Elo1495
Alatengheili

Da'Mon BlackshearvsAlatengheiliUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Saturday, April 26, 2025Kansas City, Missouri, USA

Official fight result

Da'Mon Blackshear won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupDa'Mon Blackshear: Submission grapplervsAlatengheili: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Da'Mon Blackshear wins(78.0%)

Actual result: Da'Mon Blackshear wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Da'Mon Blackshear at -500 American odds

+$20 profit

$120 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Da'Mon Blackshear (52.9%).
  • Da'Mon Blackshear has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Da'Mon Blackshear
Red Corner
VS
Alatengheili
Blue Corner
-500
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+385
(21%)
1510
Elo
1495
31
Age
34
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'5"
182.88 cm
Reach
167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Da'Mon Blackshear
oldest →
L
vs Mario Bautista · Aug 23
L
KOvs Montel Jackson · Jul 24
W
SUBvs Cody Stamann · Nov 24
W
SUBvs Cody Gibson · Mar 25
L
vs Davey Grant · Jul 25
latest
Alatengheili
oldest →
W
KOvs Kevin Croom · Apr 22
W
vs Chad Anheliger · Sep 22
L
vs Chris Gutierrez · Oct 23
W
vs Kleydson Rodrigues · May 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Da'Mon BlackshearMetricAlatengheili
4.33
Strikes / min
2.82
4.19
Strikes absorbed / min
5.12
52%
Strike defense
57%
1.48
TDs / 15 min
1.74
71%
Takedown defense
75%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.14Δ 2.44 — meaningful gap-2.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1521 vs 1532Strikes4.3 vs 2.8Takedowns1.5 vs 1.7Sub Atts1.50 vs 0.00Form0.5 vs 0.4
Da'Mon BlackshearAlatengheili

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Da'Mon Blackshear(9 fights)Alatengheili(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +15.1|Blue -15.1
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red -301.0|Blue +301.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Da'Mon BlackshearTargetAlatengheili

By target zone

75
38% acc · 60%
Head
34
23% acc · 56%
37
74% acc · 30%
Body
19
56% acc · 31%
13
57% acc · 10%
Leg
8
100% acc · 13%

By position

123
46% acc · 98%
Distance
60
32% acc · 98%
2
67% acc · 2%
Clinch
1
100% acc · 2%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Da'Mon Blackshear rounds
0
even
0
Alatengheili rounds
Round 1Da'Mon Blackshear edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Da'Mon Blackshear edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:18Control
Round 3Da'Mon Blackshear edged it
Sig. strikes48
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
125 / 273
Sig Strikes
61 / 190
45.3%
Sig Str %
31.3%
127 / 275
Total Strikes
61 / 191
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 1
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:18

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Alatengheili11 / 4511 / 450 / 00
1Da'Mon Blackshear37 / 7837 / 780 / 00
2Alatengheili25 / 6025 / 610 / 10
2Da'Mon Blackshear40 / 9642 / 980 / 00
3Alatengheili25 / 8525 / 850 / 00
3Da'Mon Blackshear48 / 9948 / 990 / 00

Da'Mon Blackshear

StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights9

Alatengheili

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights5